Bank lending and credit · South Africa
South Africa Private Sector Credit YoY
The South Africa Private Sector Credit YoY measures how much new credit banks extend, or how fast their loans or deposits grow, in South Africa.
- اهمیت
- Low
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- ZAR · South African rand
- بانک مرکزی
- The South African Reserve Bank
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-29 منتشر شد و 6.23% بود. این کمتر از 7.47% در دفعه قبل است.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 6.23% و 10.50% بود، با میانگین 8.19%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2026 | SEP | 6.23% | – | 7.47% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | AUG | 7.47% | – | 7.41% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | JUL | 7.41% | – | 7.77% ® |
| 29 Jul 2026 | JUN | 7.8% | – | 8.57% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | MAY | 8.57% | – | 9.2% |
| 29 May 2026 | APR | 9.2% | – | 8.5% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | MAR | 8.5% | – | 10.5% |
| 30 Mar 2026 | FEB | 10.5% | – | 8.83% |
| 27 Feb 2026 | JAN | 8.83% | – | 8.74% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | DEC | 8.74% | – | 7.79% |
| 31 Dec 2025 | NOV | 7.79% | – | 7.26% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | OCT | 7.26% | – | 6.03% |
چرا مهم است
Credit is the fuel of spending and investment. Strong lending growth means households and companies are confident and that monetary policy is passing through; a credit slowdown often precedes a slowdown in activity. In China, new loans and total social financing are among the most watched signs of stimulus.
روش محاسبه
Banks report the outstanding stock of loans to the central bank; the release shows the change over the month or the growth from a year earlier.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Rising credit growth supports the growth outlook and the South African rand.
- A sudden drop in lending can signal tighter bank standards or weak demand.
- Compare with interest rates: credit should slow after hikes; if it does not, more tightening may follow.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the South African rand and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the South African rand tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Credit cycles were described by economists such as Hyman Minsky; after the 2008 financial crisis regulators began to track credit growth closely as an early warning of booms and busts.
پرسش‌ها
What is the South Africa Private Sector Credit YoY?
The South Africa Private Sector Credit YoY measures how much new credit banks extend, or how fast their loans or deposits grow, in South Africa.
What was the latest South Africa Private Sector Credit YoY?
6.23% for SEP, published on 29 October 2026.
When is the next South Africa Private Sector Credit YoY?
On Monday 30 November 2026 at 06:00 UTC.
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