Bank lending and credit · China
China New Yuan Loans
The China New Yuan Loans measures how much new credit banks extend, or how fast their loans or deposits grow, in China.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
- بانک مرکزی
- The People's Bank of China
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-14 منتشر شد و CNY1080B بود.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیشبینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | SEP | CNY1080B | CNY975B | CNY60B |
| 14 Sep 2026 | AUG | CNY60B | CNY400B | CNY-340B |
| 14 Aug 2026 | JUL | CNY-340B | CNY45B | CNY1610B |
| 15 Jul 2026 | JUN | CNY1610B | CNY 2000B | CNY520B |
| 12 Jun 2026 | MAY | CNY520B | CNY550B | CNY-10B |
| 14 May 2026 | APR | CNY-10B | CNY300B | CNY2990B |
| 13 Apr 2026 | MAR | CNY2990B | CNY3400B | CNY900B |
| 13 Mar 2026 | FEB | CNY900B | CNY979B | CNY4710B |
| 13 Feb 2026 | JAN | CNY4710B | CNY5000B | CNY910B |
| 15 Jan 2026 | DEC | CNY910B | CNY800B | CNY390B |
| 12 Dec 2025 | NOV | CNY390B | – | CNY220B |
| 13 Nov 2025 | OCT | CNY220B | CNY500B | CNY1290B |
چرا مهم است
Credit is the fuel of spending and investment. Strong lending growth means households and companies are confident and that monetary policy is passing through; a credit slowdown often precedes a slowdown in activity. In China, new loans and total social financing are among the most watched signs of stimulus.
روش محاسبه
Banks report the outstanding stock of loans to the central bank; the release shows the change over the month or the growth from a year earlier.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Rising credit growth supports the growth outlook and the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
- A sudden drop in lending can signal tighter bank standards or weak demand.
- Compare with interest rates: credit should slow after hikes; if it does not, more tightening may follow.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایینتر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچهای کوتاه
Credit cycles were described by economists such as Hyman Minsky; after the 2008 financial crisis regulators began to track credit growth closely as an early warning of booms and busts.
پرسشها
What is the China New Yuan Loans?
The China New Yuan Loans measures how much new credit banks extend, or how fast their loans or deposits grow, in China.
What was the latest China New Yuan Loans?
CNY1080B for SEP, published on 14 October 2026 (consensus CNY975B, previous CNY60B).
When is the next China New Yuan Loans?
On Friday 13 November 2026.
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