Inflation rate (consumer prices) · Poland
Poland Inflation Rate YoY Prel
The Poland Inflation Rate YoY Prel measures how much the prices that households in Poland pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- PLN · Polish zloty
- بانک مرکزی
- The National Bank of Poland
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای OCT، در 2026-10-30 منتشر شد و 3.5% بود. این کمتر از 4.1% در دفعه قبل است.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 2.4% و 4.0% بود، با میانگین 3.0%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | OCT | 3.5% | – | 4.1% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | SEP | 4% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | AUG | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | JUL | 3% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | JUN | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% |
| 29 May 2026 | MAY | 3.1% | – | 3.2% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | APR | 3.2% | – | 3% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | MAR | 3% | – | 2.4% ® |
| 31 Dec 2025 | DEC | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | NOV | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% |
| 31 Oct 2025 | OCT | 2.8% | 3% | 2.9% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | SEP | 2.9% | – | 2.9% |
چرا مهم است
Inflation is what the National Bank of Poland is charged with controlling, so this is one of the most market-moving releases of the month. A figure above expectations makes rate hikes (or a longer wait for cuts) more likely, which usually lifts the Polish zloty and bond yields; a soft figure does the reverse. It also drives wages, pensions and benefits that are linked to prices.
روش محاسبه
Statistics Poland (GUS) collects many thousands of prices every month (food, rent, energy, transport, clothing, services) and weights them by how much households spend on each, from household surveys. The index compares the cost of the basket with a base year; the inflation rate is the change from the same month a year earlier.
CPI = Σ (price now ÷ base price) × weight × 100
Inflation (yoy) = CPI ÷ CPI 12 months ago − 1تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Above the central bank's target (usually 2%) and rising: pressure for higher rates.
- Look at the core rate and services prices to see if the move is broad or driven by energy and food.
- Base effects: a big jump a year ago drops out of the yearly rate and can make it fall even if prices keep rising.
- Markets react to the difference from the consensus, often to a single decimal.
بالاتر از انتظار: A higher figure than expected makes the National Bank of Poland more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Polish zloty and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower figure than expected gives the National Bank of Poland room to cut or hold rates lower: the Polish zloty tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
The United States began publishing a national consumer price index in 1919, the United Kingdom's index goes back to 1914. Inflation targeting, started by New Zealand in 1990, made this release the centre of monetary policy almost everywhere.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Poland Inflation Rate YoY Prel?
The Poland Inflation Rate YoY Prel measures how much the prices that households in Poland pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
What was the latest Poland Inflation Rate YoY Prel?
3.5% for OCT, published on 30 October 2026.
When is the next Poland Inflation Rate YoY Prel?
On Monday 30 November 2026 at 08:30 UTC.
What is a good inflation rate?
Most central banks, including the National Bank of Poland in many cases, aim for about 2% a year: low enough not to erode savings, high enough to avoid deflation.
Why does the Poland Inflation Rate YoY Prel move the Polish zloty?
Because it changes what traders expect the National Bank of Poland to do with the reference rate, and interest rates decide what holding the currency pays.
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