Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final

آخرین ارقام

آخرین انتشار، برای Q2، در 2026-08-31 منتشر شد و 1% بود. این بالاتر از اجماع 0.9% است. این بیشتر از 0.6% در دفعه قبل است.

A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Polish zloty and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

در 7 انتشار اخیر بین 0.6% و 1.3% بود، با میانگین 0.9%.

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چرا مهم است

GDP is the broadest measure of economic health. Two quarters of contraction are the common rule of thumb for a recession. Stronger growth supports corporate earnings, jobs and the Polish zloty, and can push the National Bank of Poland towards higher rates; a contraction raises the odds of cuts.

روش محاسبه

Statistics Poland (GUS) adds up spending in the economy: consumption + investment + government spending + exports − imports, measured at constant prices (real GDP) and adjusted for seasonal patterns. The first (advance or flash) estimate is revised as more data arrive. The US annualises the quarterly change.

GDP = C + I + G + (X − M)
Growth (qoq) = real GDP ÷ real GDP last quarter − 1
Annualised = (1 + qoq)⁴ − 1

تغییرات چه معنایی دارند

• Compare with the consensus and with the previous quarter; the first estimate gets the biggest reaction.
• Look at the mix: growth from consumption and investment is healthier than growth from inventories.
• An annualised US figure of 2% is close to its long-run trend; 0.5% quarter on quarter is similar in European terms.

تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه

Simon Kuznets built the first national income accounts for the US Congress in 1934. GDP replaced GNP as the US headline measure in 1991; international standards are set in the UN System of National Accounts.

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