GDP growth (quarterly) · Poland
Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
The Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final measures how much the economy of Poland, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- PLN · Polish zloty
- Центральный банк
- The National Bank of Poland
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q2, вышла 2026-08-31; значение: 1%. Это выше консенсус-прогноза 0.9%. Это выше, чем 0.6% в прошлый раз.
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Polish zloty and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
За последние 7 публикаций значение колебалось от 0.6% до 1.3%, в среднем 0.9%.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Q1 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1% |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Q4 | 1% | 1% | 0.9% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | Q3 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | Q2 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 2 Jun 2025 | Q1 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| 27 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% ® |
Почему это важно
GDP is the broadest measure of economic health. Two quarters of contraction are the common rule of thumb for a recession. Stronger growth supports corporate earnings, jobs and the Polish zloty, and can push the National Bank of Poland towards higher rates; a contraction raises the odds of cuts.
Как считается
Statistics Poland (GUS) adds up spending in the economy: consumption + investment + government spending + exports − imports, measured at constant prices (real GDP) and adjusted for seasonal patterns. The first (advance or flash) estimate is revised as more data arrive. The US annualises the quarterly change.
GDP = C + I + G + (X − M)
Growth (qoq) = real GDP ÷ real GDP last quarter − 1
Annualised = (1 + qoq)⁴ − 1Что означают изменения
- Compare with the consensus and with the previous quarter; the first estimate gets the biggest reaction.
- Look at the mix: growth from consumption and investment is healthier than growth from inventories.
- An annualised US figure of 2% is close to its long-run trend; 0.5% quarter on quarter is similar in European terms.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Polish zloty and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Polish zloty tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Simon Kuznets built the first national income accounts for the US Congress in 1934. GDP replaced GNP as the US headline measure in 1991; international standards are set in the UN System of National Accounts.
Вопросы
What is the Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final?
The Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final measures how much the economy of Poland, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
What was the latest Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final?
1% for Q2, published on 31 August 2026 (consensus 0.9%, previous 0.6%).
When is the next Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final?
On Monday 30 November 2026 at 08:30 UTC.
What is the difference between quarterly and annual GDP growth?
Quarterly growth compares with the previous quarter (the latest momentum); annual growth compares with the same quarter a year earlier.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.