Retail sales · Poland
Poland Retail Sales YoY
The Poland Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in Poland.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- PLN · Polish zloty
- Центральный банк
- The National Bank of Poland
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за SEP, вышла 2026-10-22; значение: 3.3%. Это ниже консенсус-прогноза 3.7%. Это ниже, чем 3.8% в прошлый раз.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Polish zloty tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 1.3% до 8.7%, в среднем 4.5%. Показатель снижался три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | SEP | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | AUG | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| 24 Aug 2026 | JUL | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% |
| 22 Jun 2026 | MAY | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| 25 May 2026 | APR | 1.3% | 3% | 8.7% |
| 23 Apr 2026 | MAR | 8.7% | – | 5% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | FEB | 5% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | JAN | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | DEC | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| 22 Dec 2025 | NOV | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% |
| 25 Nov 2025 | OCT | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% ® |
| 22 Oct 2025 | SEP | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
Почему это важно
Retail sales are the most timely measure of household spending, the largest part of the economy. Strong sales support growth and the Polish zloty; weak sales raise recession worries. In the US the "control group" (without autos, petrol, building materials and food services) feeds directly into GDP.
Как считается
Statistics Poland (GUS) surveys retailers on their monthly sales; value figures include price changes, volume figures remove them. Seasonal adjustment removes holiday patterns.
Change (mom) = sales this month ÷ sales last month − 1Что означают изменения
- Compare value and volume: rising value with falling volume is inflation, not stronger demand.
- Ex-autos and ex-fuel versions remove the most volatile parts.
- Revisions to the previous month can change the picture.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Polish zloty and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Polish zloty tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
The US Census Bureau has published monthly retail sales since the 1950s; most countries followed in the post-war decades.
Вопросы
What is the Poland Retail Sales YoY?
The Poland Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in Poland.
What was the latest Poland Retail Sales YoY?
3.3% for SEP, published on 22 October 2026 (consensus 3.7%, previous 3.8%).
When is the next Poland Retail Sales YoY?
On Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 08:30 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.