Wages and labour costs · New Zealand
New Zealand Labour Costs Index YoY
The New Zealand Labour Costs Index YoY measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in New Zealand.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Quarterly
- ارز
- NZD · New Zealand dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Reserve Bank of New Zealand
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای Q3، در 2026-11-03 منتشر شد و 2% بود. این پایین‌تر از اجماع 2.1% است. این کمتر از 2.1% در دفعه قبل است.
A lower figure than expected gives the Reserve Bank of New Zealand room to cut or hold rates lower: the New Zealand dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
در 8 انتشار اخیر بین 2% و 2.9% بود، با میانگین 2.2%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Q3 | 2% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 2.1% | 2% | 2% |
| 5 May 2026 | Q1 | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Q4 | 2% | 2% | 2.1% |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Q3 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| 6 May 2025 | Q1 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% |
| 4 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 2.9% | 3% | 3.4% |
چرا مهم است
Wages are the largest cost for service businesses, so wage growth well above productivity growth turns into lasting inflation. Central banks watch it to judge whether inflation will return to target; strong wage growth tends to keep the Reserve Bank of New Zealand hawkish.
روش محاسبه
Pay data come from employer surveys, tax records or collective agreements; the release usually shows the change from a year earlier. Labour cost indexes include employers' social contributions and benefits.
Wage growth (yoy) = average pay ÷ average pay a year ago − 1
Real wage growth ≈ wage growth − inflationتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Wage growth of about 3–3.5% is roughly consistent with 2% inflation when productivity grows about 1%.
- Compositional effects (low-paid workers losing jobs) can lift the average misleadingly.
بالاتر از انتظار: A higher figure than expected makes the Reserve Bank of New Zealand more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the New Zealand dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower figure than expected gives the Reserve Bank of New Zealand room to cut or hold rates lower: the New Zealand dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
The link between wages and inflation was described by A. W. Phillips in 1958 (the Phillips curve); it has weakened and strengthened over the decades but remains central to central-bank thinking.
New Zealand was the first country to adopt formal inflation targeting, in 1990.
پرسش‌ها
What is the New Zealand Labour Costs Index YoY?
The New Zealand Labour Costs Index YoY measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in New Zealand.
What was the latest New Zealand Labour Costs Index YoY?
2% for Q3, published on 3 November 2026 (consensus 2.1%, previous 2.1%).
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