Business confidence · Japan
Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook
The Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Quarterly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- JPY · Japanese yen
- بانک مرکزی
- The Bank of Japan
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای Q3، در 2026-09-30 منتشر شد و 30 بود. این مطابق اجماع 30 است. این بیشتر از 28 در دفعه قبل است.
نتیجه‌ای مطابق پیش‌بینی معمولاً واکنش کمی ایجاد می‌کند: قبلاً در قیمت لحاظ شده بود.
در 7 انتشار اخیر بین 27 و 30 بود، با میانگین 28.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | Q3 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Q2 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Q1 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Q4 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Q3 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Q2 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
| 31 Mar 2025 | Q1 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
چرا مهم است
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
روش محاسبه
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook?
The Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook?
30 for Q3, published on 30 September 2026 (consensus 30, previous 28).
When is the next Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook?
On Sunday 13 December 2026 at 23:50 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.