Business confidence · China
China NBS Manufacturing PMI
The China NBS Manufacturing PMI asks companies in China how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- اهمیت
- High
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
- بانک مرکزی
- The People's Bank of China
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای OCT، در 2026-10-31 منتشر شد و 49.3 بود. این پایین‌تر از اجماع 50 است. این کمتر از 50.1 در دفعه قبل است.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 49.0 و 50.4 بود، با میانگین 49.8.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | OCT | 49.3 | 50 | 50.1 |
| 30 Sep 2026 | SEP | 50.1 | 50.1 | 49.8 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | AUG | 49.8 | 49.7 | 49.2 |
| 31 Jul 2026 | JUL | 49.2 | 50.0 | 50.3 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | JUN | 50.3 | 50.1 | 50.0 |
| 31 May 2026 | MAY | 50 | 50 | 50.3 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | APR | 50.3 | 50.1 | 50.4 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | MAR | 50.4 | 50.1 | 49.0 |
| 4 Mar 2026 | FEB | 49.0 | 49.1 | 49.3 |
| 31 Jan 2026 | JAN | 49.3 | 50 | 50.1 |
| 31 Dec 2025 | DEC | 50.1 | 49.2 | 49.2 |
| 30 Nov 2025 | NOV | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49.0 |
چرا مهم است
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
روش محاسبه
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
پرسش‌ها
What is the China NBS Manufacturing PMI?
The China NBS Manufacturing PMI asks companies in China how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest China NBS Manufacturing PMI?
49.3 for OCT, published on 31 October 2026 (consensus 50, previous 50.1).
When is the next China NBS Manufacturing PMI?
On Monday 30 November 2026 at 01:30 UTC.
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