Business confidence · Japan

Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook

The Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.

重要性
Medium
发布时间
Quarterly
下次发布
货币
JPY · Japanese yen
中央银行
The Bank of Japan
影响
AUDJPY · CADJPY · CHFJPY · EURJPY · GBPJPY · NZDJPY · SGDJPY · USDJPY

最新数据

最新一期(Q3)于 2026-09-30 公布,数值为 30。 与 30 的市场预期一致。 高于上次的 28。

符合预期的结果通常反应不大:已被市场消化。

最近 7 次公布中介于 27 至 30,平均 28。

Mar 2025: 28Jun 2025: 27Sep 2025: 28Dec 2025: 28Mar 2026: 29Jun 2026: 28Sep 2026: 30 Mar 2025Sep 2026
实际结果;柱上的短线标示市场预期。
发布时间期限实际值预期值前值
30 Sep 2026Q3303028
30 Jun 2026Q2283029
31 Mar 2026Q1292828
14 Dec 2025Q4282828
30 Sep 2025Q3282927
30 Jun 2025Q2272928
31 Mar 2025Q1282928

在财经日历中查看 →

为何重要

Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.

计算方法

Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.

变化意味着什么

  • The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
  • A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.

高于预期:A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

低于预期:A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

简史

Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.

问题

What is the Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook?

The Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.

What was the latest Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook?

30 for Q3, published on 30 September 2026 (consensus 30, previous 28).

When is the next Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook?

On Sunday 13 December 2026 at 23:50 UTC.

仅供学习参考,不构成投资建议。数据为我们日历记录的已发布结果;所述市场反应为典型情况,并无保证。