Business confidence · Japan
Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook
The Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- 重要性
- Medium
- 发布时间
- Quarterly
- 下次发布
- 货币
- JPY · Japanese yen
- 中央银行
- The Bank of Japan
最新数据
最新一期(Q3)于 2026-09-30 公布,数值为 30。 与 30 的市场预期一致。 高于上次的 28。
符合预期的结果通常反应不大:已被市场消化。
最近 7 次公布中介于 27 至 30,平均 28。
| 发布时间 | 期限 | 实际值 | 预期值 | 前值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | Q3 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Q2 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Q1 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Q4 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Q3 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Q2 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
| 31 Mar 2025 | Q1 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
为何重要
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
计算方法
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
变化意味着什么
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
高于预期:A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
低于预期:A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
简史
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
问题
What is the Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook?
The Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook?
30 for Q3, published on 30 September 2026 (consensus 30, previous 28).
When is the next Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook?
On Sunday 13 December 2026 at 23:50 UTC.
仅供学习参考,不构成投资建议。数据为我们日历记录的已发布结果;所述市场反应为典型情况,并无保证。