Business confidence · Australia
Australia Ai Group Industry Index
The Australia Ai Group Industry Index asks companies in Australia how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- AUD · Australian dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Reserve Bank of Australia
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای OCT، در 2026-11-03 منتشر شد و -19.1 بود. این بیشتر از -24.2 در دفعه قبل است.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین -30.0 و -1.5 بود، با میانگین -18.2.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | OCT | -19.1 | – | -24.2 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | SEP | -24.2 | – | -1.6 ® |
| 1 Sep 2026 | AUG | -3.5 | – | -26.2 ® |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JUL | -29.9 | – | -30.0 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | JUN | -30.0 | – | -30.5 ® |
| 2 Jun 2026 | MAY | -26.5 | – | -25.5 ® |
| 5 May 2026 | APR | -24.4 | – | -34.2 ® |
| 31 Mar 2026 | MAR | -23.6 | – | -1.5 |
| 3 Mar 2026 | FEB | -1.5 | – | -12.3 |
| 3 Feb 2026 | JAN | -12.3 | – | -12.5 |
| 2 Dec 2025 | NOV | -12.5 | – | -11.2 |
| 4 Nov 2025 | OCT | -11.2 | – | -16 |
چرا مهم است
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
روش محاسبه
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Australian dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Australian dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Australia Ai Group Industry Index?
The Australia Ai Group Industry Index asks companies in Australia how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest Australia Ai Group Industry Index?
-19.1 for OCT, published on 3 November 2026.
When is the next Australia Ai Group Industry Index?
On Tuesday 1 December 2026 at 22:00 UTC.
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