Interest rate decision · Australia
Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision
The Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision is the Reserve Bank of Australia's announcement of its main policy rate, the cash rate target. It is the price of money in Australia: banks' borrowing costs, mortgage and loan rates and the return on cash all move with it.
- اهمیت
- High
- منتشرشده
- About every six weeks
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- AUD · Australian dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Reserve Bank of Australia
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار در 2026-11-03 منتشر شد و 4.85% بود. این مطابق اجماع 4.85% است. این بیشتر از 4.6% در دفعه قبل است.
نتیجه‌ای مطابق پیش‌بینی معمولاً واکنش کمی ایجاد می‌کند: قبلاً در قیمت لحاظ شده بود.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 3.60% و 4.85% بود، با میانگین 4.06%. سه انتشار پیاپی افزایش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | – | 4.85% | 4.85% | 4.6% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | – | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.35% |
| 11 Aug 2026 | – | 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% |
| 16 Jun 2026 | – | 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% |
| 5 May 2026 | – | 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.1% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | – | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.85% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | – | 3.85% | 3.85% | 3.6% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | – | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 4 Nov 2025 | – | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | – | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 12 Aug 2025 | – | 3.6% | 3.60% | 3.85% |
| 8 Jul 2025 | – | 3.85% | 3.60% | 3.85% |
چرا مهم است
No release moves markets more directly. The rate decides what holding the Australian dollar pays, so the currency, government bond yields, bank shares and the whole stock market react within seconds. Markets usually price the decision in advance, so the surprise, and the tone of the statement and press conference, matter as much as the number: a hold with a hawkish message can lift the currency more than an expected hike.
روش محاسبه
There is nothing to calculate: the rate is set by a vote of the central bank's policy committee at scheduled meetings. The committee weighs inflation against its target, the labour market, growth and financial conditions. Most decisions move in steps of 0.25 percentage point; 0.50 or more signals urgency.
Taylor rule (a rough guide many economists use):
rate ≈ neutral rate + inflation + 0.5 × (inflation − target) + 0.5 × output gapتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Compare the decision with the consensus: a surprise move is rare and causes the largest reactions.
- Read the statement for changes in wording; "further tightening may be needed" versus "policy is appropriate" is what traders act on.
- Look at the vote split: dissents in one direction often foreshadow the next move.
- A hike or hawkish hold usually lifts the Australian dollar and bond yields; a cut or dovish tone does the opposite. Stocks usually prefer lower rates unless the cut signals a weakening economy.
بالاتر از انتظار: A higher rate than expected (or a hawkish surprise) usually lifts the Australian dollar and bond yields and weighs on stocks.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower rate than expected usually weakens the Australian dollar, lowers bond yields and supports stocks.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Central banks have set lending rates since the Bank of England raised its Bank Rate in the 18th and 19th centuries to defend its gold reserves. Since New Zealand adopted formal inflation targeting in 1990, most central banks set rates to keep inflation near a target, usually 2%.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision?
The Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision is the Reserve Bank of Australia's announcement of its main policy rate, the cash rate target. It is the price of money in Australia: banks' borrowing costs, mortgage and loan rates and the return on cash all move with it.
What was the latest Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision?
4.85%, published on 3 November 2026 (consensus 4.85%, previous 4.6%).
When is the next Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision?
On Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 03:30 UTC.
When is the Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision announced?
On the dates of the Reserve Bank of Australia's scheduled policy meetings, published a year in advance; the calendar above shows the next one.
Why do markets move before the decision?
Interest-rate futures and swaps price the expected decision days ahead; on the day, only the difference from those expectations moves prices.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.