Retail sales · South Africa

South Africa Retail Sales MoM

The South Africa Retail Sales MoM measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in South Africa.

Importance
Medium
Released
Monthly
Next release
Currency
ZAR · South African rand
Central bank
The South African Reserve Bank
Moves
EURZAR# · USDZAR

Latest figures

The latest release for AUG, published on 21 October 2026, came in at -0.3%, down from 2.4% the time before (revised).

Over the last 12 releases it ranged from -1.2% to 2.5%, averaging 0.2%.

Oct 2025: -1.2%Nov 2025: 0%Dec 2025: 0.9%Jan 2026: 0.6%Feb 2026: -0.4%Mar 2026: 0.9%Apr 2026: -1%May 2026: 0.1%Jun 2026: 0.9%Aug 2026: -0.6%Sep 2026: 2.5%Oct 2026: -0.3% Oct 2025Oct 2026
Actual results; the short line on a bar marks the consensus.
ReleasedForActualConsensusPrevious
21 Oct 2026AUG-0.3%–2.4% ®
16 Sep 2026JUL2.5%–-0.8% ®
19 Aug 2026JUN-0.6%–0% ®
17 Jun 2026APR0.9%–0.1%
20 May 2026MAR0.1%–-1.1% ®
22 Apr 2026FEB-1%–0.9%
18 Mar 2026JAN0.9%–-0.5% ®
18 Feb 2026DEC-0.4%–0.6%
21 Jan 2026NOV0.6%–1% ®
10 Dec 2025OCT0.9%–-0.1% ®
19 Nov 2025SEP0%–-1.6% ®
15 Oct 2025AUG-1.2%–2.3% ®

See it in the economic calendar →

Why it matters

Retail sales are the most timely measure of household spending, the largest part of the economy. Strong sales support growth and the South African rand; weak sales raise recession worries. In the US the "control group" (without autos, petrol, building materials and food services) feeds directly into GDP.

How it is calculated

Statistics South Africa surveys retailers on their monthly sales; value figures include price changes, volume figures remove them. Seasonal adjustment removes holiday patterns.

Change (mom) = sales this month ÷ sales last month − 1

What changes mean

  • Compare value and volume: rising value with falling volume is inflation, not stronger demand.
  • Ex-autos and ex-fuel versions remove the most volatile parts.
  • Revisions to the previous month can change the picture.

Higher than expected: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the South African rand and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Lower than expected: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the South African rand tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

A short history

The US Census Bureau has published monthly retail sales since the 1950s; most countries followed in the post-war decades.

Questions

What is the South Africa Retail Sales MoM?

The South Africa Retail Sales MoM measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in South Africa.

What was the latest South Africa Retail Sales MoM?

-0.3% for AUG, published on 21 October 2026.

When is the next South Africa Retail Sales MoM?

On Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 11:00 UTC.

Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.