Business confidence · Euro Area

Euro Area Services Sentiment

The Euro Area Services Sentiment asks companies in the Euro Area how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.

Importance
Medium
Released
Monthly
Next release
Currency
EUR · euro
Central bank
The European Central Bank

Latest figures

The latest release for OCT, published on 29 October 2026, came in at 5.3, below the consensus of 5.9, down from 5.9 the time before (revised).

A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the euro tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

Over the last 12 releases it ranged from 0.9 to 7.2, averaging 4.7.

Nov 2025: 5.7Jan 2026: 5.6Jan 2026: 7.2Feb 2026: 5.0Mar 2026: 4.9Apr 2026: 0.9May 2026: 2.2Jun 2026: 3.2Jul 2026: 4.7Aug 2026: 5.8Sep 2026: 6.1Oct 2026: 5.3 Nov 2025Oct 2026
Actual results; the short line on a bar marks the consensus.
ReleasedForActualConsensusPrevious
29 Oct 2026OCT5.35.95.9 ®
29 Sep 2026SEP6.16.55.6 ®
28 Aug 2026AUG5.84.95.1 ®
30 Jul 2026JUL4.73.84.2 ®
29 Jun 2026JUN3.232.6 ®
28 May 2026MAY2.20.21.4 ®
29 Apr 2026APR0.93.54.1 ®
30 Mar 2026MAR4.93.95.0
26 Feb 2026FEB5.07.56.8 ®
29 Jan 2026JAN7.265.8 ®
8 Jan 2026DEC5.65.95.8 ®
27 Nov 2025NOV5.74.44.2 ®

See it in the economic calendar →

Why it matters

Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.

How it is calculated

Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.

What changes mean

  • The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
  • A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.

Higher than expected: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the euro and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Lower than expected: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the euro tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

A short history

Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.

Questions

What is the Euro Area Services Sentiment?

The Euro Area Services Sentiment asks companies in the Euro Area how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.

What was the latest Euro Area Services Sentiment?

5.3 for OCT, published on 29 October 2026 (consensus 5.9, previous 5.9).

When is the next Euro Area Services Sentiment?

On Friday 27 November 2026 at 10:00 UTC.

Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.