Monthly inflation · Bulgaria
Bulgaria Inflation Rate MoM Prel
The Bulgaria Inflation Rate MoM Prel is the change in consumer prices in Bulgaria from the previous month (or quarter).
- Importance
- Low
- Released
- Monthly
- Next release
- Currency
- EUR · euro
- Central bank
- The European Central Bank (with the Bulgarian National Bank)
Latest figures
The latest release for SEP, published on 1 October 2026, came in at -0.3%, down from 0.6% the time before.
Over the last 8 releases it ranged from -0.8% to 2.0%, averaging 0.4%; it has been falling for three releases in a row.
| Released | For | Actual | Consensus | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | SEP | -0.3% | – | 0.6% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | AUG | 0.6% | – | 0.8% |
| 30 Jul 2026 | JUL | 0.7% | – | -0.9% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | JUN | -0.8% | – | 0.0% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | MAY | 0.2% | – | 1.8% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | APR | 2% | – | 0.9% |
| 30 Mar 2026 | MAR | 0.7% | – | 0.4% |
| 2 Mar 2026 | FEB | 0.3% | – | 0.6% |
Why it matters
The monthly change is the freshest reading of price pressure: the yearly rate is the sum of the last twelve monthly changes, so today's monthly figure tells you where the yearly rate is heading.
How it is calculated
the National Statistical Institute prices a fixed basket of goods and services across the country and compares the index with the previous period. Seasonal patterns (sales, holidays) make raw monthly figures jumpy; some countries also publish seasonally adjusted numbers.
Monthly inflation = index(this month) ÷ index(last month) − 1
Annualised ≈ (1 + monthly)¹² − 1What changes mean
- Compare with the same month in earlier years: January and September often have seasonal jumps.
- 0.2% a month is about the 2% a year most central banks aim for.
Higher than expected: A higher figure than expected makes the European Central Bank (with the Bulgarian National Bank) more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the euro and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Lower than expected: A lower figure than expected gives the European Central Bank (with the Bulgarian National Bank) room to cut or hold rates lower: the euro tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
A short history
Monthly price indexes date from the early 20th century; many countries began publishing them during or after the First World War to adjust wages to the cost of living.
Bulgaria adopted the euro on 1 January 2026.
Questions
What is the Bulgaria Inflation Rate MoM Prel?
The Bulgaria Inflation Rate MoM Prel is the change in consumer prices in Bulgaria from the previous month (or quarter).
What was the latest Bulgaria Inflation Rate MoM Prel?
-0.3% for SEP, published on 1 October 2026.
When is the next Bulgaria Inflation Rate MoM Prel?
On Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 09:00 UTC.
Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.