Balance of trade · United States
United States Goods Trade Balance
The United States Goods Trade Balance shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that the United States sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за FEB, вышла 2026-04-02; значение: $-83.5B.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | FEB | $-83.5B | – | $-80.9B ® |
| 12 Mar 2026 | JAN | $-80.8B | – | $-98.5B |
| 19 Feb 2026 | DEC | $-98.5B | $-86B | $-82.8B ® |
Почему это важно
Exports are a big part of demand for open economies (Germany, China, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands). A larger surplus means more foreign demand for the US dollar; strong imports signal domestic demand. China's figures are read as a gauge of world demand.
Как считается
Customs records the value of goods crossing the border; services come from surveys. The balance is exports minus imports, usually seasonally adjusted.
Trade balance = exports − importsЧто означают изменения
- Look at exports and imports separately: a wider surplus from collapsing imports is a sign of weak domestic demand, not strength.
- Exchange-rate moves take months to affect trade volumes (the J-curve).
Выше ожиданий: A larger surplus (or smaller deficit) than expected tends to support the US dollar.
Ниже ожиданий: A smaller surplus (or larger deficit) than expected tends to weigh on the US dollar.
Краткая история
Trade balances were the obsession of mercantilism in the 16th–18th centuries; David Hume's price-specie flow mechanism (1752) explained why surpluses tend to correct themselves.
Вопросы
What is the United States Goods Trade Balance?
The United States Goods Trade Balance shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that the United States sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
What was the latest United States Goods Trade Balance?
$-83.5B for FEB, published on 2 April 2026.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.