PCE and GDP price indexes · Japan
Japan GDP Price Index YoY Prel
The Japan GDP Price Index YoY Prel measures the prices of everything households (PCE) or the whole economy (deflator) buy. In Japan it is one of the main measures of inflation.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- JPY · Japanese yen
- Центральный банк
- The Bank of Japan
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q2, вышла 2026-08-16; значение: 2.6%. Это выше консенсус-прогноза 2.4%. Это ниже, чем 3.2% в прошлый раз.
A higher figure than expected makes the Bank of Japan more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Japanese yen and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
За последние 7 публикаций значение колебалось от 2.6% до 3.4%, в среднем 3.0%.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% |
| 18 May 2026 | Q1 | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Q4 | 3.4% | – | 3.5% ® |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Q3 | 2.8% | – | 2.9% ® |
| 14 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% |
| 15 May 2025 | Q1 | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% ® |
Почему это важно
In the United States the Federal Reserve's 2% target is defined on the PCE price index, and the core measure (without food and energy) is the one policymakers quote most. Because CPI comes out first, markets usually know roughly what PCE will show; surprises come from the parts measured differently, such as health care.
Как считается
PCE prices are built from the same price data as CPI and producer prices, but weighted by what households actually spend (including what is paid on their behalf, like employer health insurance), and the weights change every period. The GDP deflator divides nominal GDP by real GDP.
Deflator = nominal GDP ÷ real GDP × 100
PCE inflation = PCE index ÷ PCE index a year ago − 1Что означают изменения
- Core PCE above 2% and rising keeps the Fed cautious about cutting rates.
- The monthly change annualised (× 12) shows the latest pace; three-month averages smooth the noise.
Выше ожиданий: A higher figure than expected makes the Bank of Japan more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Japanese yen and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Ниже ожиданий: A lower figure than expected gives the Bank of Japan room to cut or hold rates lower: the Japanese yen tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Краткая история
The Fed switched its preferred inflation measure from CPI to PCE in 2000 and wrote the 2% PCE target into its strategy in 2012.
Вопросы
What is the Japan GDP Price Index YoY Prel?
The Japan GDP Price Index YoY Prel measures the prices of everything households (PCE) or the whole economy (deflator) buy. In Japan it is one of the main measures of inflation.
What was the latest Japan GDP Price Index YoY Prel?
2.6% for Q2, published on 16 August 2026 (consensus 2.4%, previous 3.2%).
When is the next Japan GDP Price Index YoY Prel?
On Sunday 15 November 2026 at 23:50 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.