Bill Williams indicators
Alligator
Three smoothed averages (jaw, teeth and lips) shifted into the future: when they are tangled the "alligator sleeps" (no trend); when they fan out, it "eats" (trend).
הרעיון במילים פשוטות
Markets trend only part of the time. The three lines, each slower and shifted further forward, help you see whether the market is resting or moving, and in which direction.
איך זה מחושב
Smoothed moving averages of the median price (high + low) ÷ 2: Jaw 13 periods shifted 8 candles, Teeth 8 shifted 5, Lips 5 shifted 3.
Jaw = SMMA(median, 13) shifted 8 forward (blue)
Teeth = SMMA(median, 8) shifted 5 forward (red)
Lips = SMMA(median, 5) shifted 3 forward (green)איך משתמשים בזה
- Lines intertwined: no trend, wait.
- Lips above Teeth above Jaw, all rising and spreading: uptrend; the reverse order: downtrend.
- Exit or tighten stops when the lines start to converge again.
הסקת מסקנות
- The wider the gap between the lines, the stronger the trend.
דוגמה
After a week of tangled lines on GBPUSD H4, the green line crosses above red and blue and the three fan out upward: the alligator wakes up hungry.
המחירים בדוגמאות להמחשה בלבד.
ממה להיזהר
- The lines are slow; part of every trend is gone by the time they fan out.
קצת היסטוריה
Bill Williams, "Trading Chaos" (1995).
תוכן לימודי בלבד. שום אינדיקטור או תבנית לא חוזים את העתיד, ושום דבר כאן אינו ייעוץ השקעות.