Bill Williams indicators
Alligator
Three smoothed averages (jaw, teeth and lips) shifted into the future: when they are tangled the "alligator sleeps" (no trend); when they fan out, it "eats" (trend).
ایده به زبان ساده
Markets trend only part of the time. The three lines, each slower and shifted further forward, help you see whether the market is resting or moving, and in which direction.
روش محاسبه
Smoothed moving averages of the median price (high + low) ÷ 2: Jaw 13 periods shifted 8 candles, Teeth 8 shifted 5, Lips 5 shifted 3.
Jaw = SMMA(median, 13) shifted 8 forward (blue)
Teeth = SMMA(median, 8) shifted 5 forward (red)
Lips = SMMA(median, 5) shifted 3 forward (green)نحوه استفاده
- Lines intertwined: no trend, wait.
- Lips above Teeth above Jaw, all rising and spreading: uptrend; the reverse order: downtrend.
- Exit or tighten stops when the lines start to converge again.
نتیجهگیری
- The wider the gap between the lines, the stronger the trend.
مثال
After a week of tangled lines on GBPUSD H4, the green line crosses above red and blue and the three fan out upward: the alligator wakes up hungry.
قیمتها در مثالها نمایشیاند.
مراقب اینها باشید
- The lines are slow; part of every trend is gone by the time they fan out.
کمی تاریخچه
Bill Williams, "Trading Chaos" (1995).
فقط محتوای آموزشی. هیچ اندیکاتور یا الگویی آینده را پیشبینی نمیکند و هیچچیز اینجا توصیه سرمایهگذاری نیست.