Government bond yield · United States
United States 3-Year Note Auction
The United States 3-Year Note Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- חשיבות
- Low
- פורסם
- Monthly
- הפרסום הבא
- מטבע
- USD · US dollar
- בנק מרכזי
- The Federal Reserve
הנתונים האחרונים
הפרסום האחרון יצא ב-2026-10-06 ועמד על 4.932%. זו עלייה מ-4.474% בפעם הקודמת.
ב-12 הפרסומים האחרונים הערך נע בין 3.518% ל-4.932%, בממוצע 3.986%. הנתון עולה שלושה פרסומים ברציפות.
| פורסם | עבור | בפועל | קונצנזוס | קודם |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | – | 4.932% | – | 4.474% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | – | 4.474% | – | 4.291% |
| 11 Aug 2026 | – | 4.291% | – | 4.179% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | – | 4.179% | – | 4.192% |
| 9 Jun 2026 | – | 4.192% | – | 3.965% |
| 11 May 2026 | – | 3.965% | – | 3.897% |
| 7 Apr 2026 | – | 3.897% | – | 3.579% |
| 10 Mar 2026 | – | 3.579% | – | 3.518% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | – | 3.518% | – | 3.609% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | – | 3.609% | – | 3.614% |
| 8 Dec 2025 | – | 3.614% | – | 3.579% |
| 10 Nov 2025 | – | 3.579% | – | 3.576% |
למה זה חשוב
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Federal Reserve's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the US dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
איך זה מחושב
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationמה המשמעות של שינויים
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
היסטוריה קצרה
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
שאלות
What is the United States 3-Year Note Auction?
The United States 3-Year Note Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest United States 3-Year Note Auction?
4.932%, published on 6 October 2026.
When is the next United States 3-Year Note Auction?
On Monday 9 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
תוכן לימודי בלבד, לא ייעוץ השקעות. הנתונים הם התוצאות שפורסמו כפי שנרשמו ביומן שלנו; תגובות השוק המתוארות אופייניות, לא מובטחות.