Core inflation · United States
United States Core Inflation Rate YoY
The United States Core Inflation Rate YoY measures the rise in consumer prices in the United States without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
- חשיבות
- High
- פורסם
- Monthly
- הפרסום הבא
- מטבע
- USD · US dollar
- בנק מרכזי
- The Federal Reserve
הנתונים האחרונים
הפרסום האחרון, עבור SEP, יצא ב-2026-10-14 ועמד על 2.6%. זה מעל הקונצנזוס של 2.5%. זו עלייה מ-2.4% בפעם הקודמת.
A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
ב-12 הפרסומים האחרונים הערך נע בין 2.4% ל-3.0%, בממוצע 2.6%.
| פורסם | עבור | בפועל | קונצנזוס | קודם |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | SEP | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | AUG | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | JUL | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | JUN | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | MAY | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| 12 May 2026 | APR | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| 10 Apr 2026 | MAR | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | FEB | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | JAN | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | DEC | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | NOV | 2.6% | 3% | – |
| 24 Oct 2025 | SEP | 3% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
למה זה חשוב
Food and energy prices jump with harvests and oil, then fall back. The core rate shows the underlying trend that the Federal Reserve can actually influence, so it often moves markets more than the headline. Services inflation, driven by wages, is the stickiest part.
איך זה מחושב
the Bureau of Labor Statistics (prices and jobs), the Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP, income and spending) and the Census Bureau (retail sales, housing, trade) takes the consumer price index basket, removes the excluded items and re-weights the rest; the change is measured month on month and against the same month a year earlier.
Core inflation (yoy) = core index ÷ core index 12 months ago − 1מה המשמעות של שינויים
- A core rate falling towards the target lets the Federal Reserve ease; a stubborn core keeps rates high.
- Monthly core changes of 0.2% compound to about 2.4% a year; 0.3% to about 3.7%.
- Markets compare the figure with the consensus to one decimal; a 0.1-point surprise moves currencies.
גבוה מהצפוי: A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
נמוך מהצפוי: A lower figure than expected gives the Federal Reserve room to cut or hold rates lower: the US dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
היסטוריה קצרה
Economists Robert Gordon and others popularised excluding food and energy in the 1970s, when oil shocks made the headline rate misleading; most central banks now publish or watch a core measure.
שאלות
What is the United States Core Inflation Rate YoY?
The United States Core Inflation Rate YoY measures the rise in consumer prices in the United States without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
What was the latest United States Core Inflation Rate YoY?
2.6% for SEP, published on 14 October 2026 (consensus 2.5%, previous 2.4%).
When is the next United States Core Inflation Rate YoY?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
תוכן לימודי בלבד, לא ייעוץ השקעות. הנתונים הם התוצאות שפורסמו כפי שנרשמו ביומן שלנו; תגובות השוק המתוארות אופייניות, לא מובטחות.