Underlying inflation measures · Sweden

Sweden CPIF YoY Prel

The Sweden CPIF YoY Prel is an alternative measure of underlying inflation in Sweden, built to strip out one-off price jumps without simply dropping whole categories.

חשיבות
Low
פורסם
Monthly
הפרסום הבא
מטבע
SEK · Swedish krona
בנק מרכזי
The Riksbank
משפיע על
EURSEK · GBPSEK · USDSEK

הנתונים האחרונים

הפרסום האחרון, עבור OCT, יצא ב-2026-11-05 ועמד על 1.1%. זה מתחת לקונצנזוס של 1.4%. זה ירידה מ-1.5% בפעם הקודמת.

A lower figure than expected gives the Riksbank room to cut or hold rates lower: the Swedish krona tends to soften and bond yields to fall.

ב-12 הפרסומים האחרונים הערך נע בין 0.7% ל-2.3%, בממוצע 1.4%.

Dec 2025: 2.3%Jan 2026: 2.1%Feb 2026: 2%Mar 2026: 1.7%Apr 2026: 1.6%May 2026: 0.8%Jun 2026: 1.5%Jul 2026: 1.3%Aug 2026: 0.7%Sep 2026: 0.7%Oct 2026: 1.5%Nov 2026: 1.1% Dec 2025Nov 2026
תוצאות בפועל; הקו הקצר על עמודה מסמן את הקונצנזוס.
פורסםעבורבפועלקונצנזוסקודם
5 Nov 2026OCT1.1%1.4%1.5%
7 Oct 2026SEP1.5%1.6%0.7%
7 Sep 2026AUG0.7%0.8%0.7%
6 Aug 2026JUL0.7%0.6%1.3%
8 Jul 2026JUN1.3%1.2%1.5%
4 Jun 2026MAY1.5%1.3%0.8%
6 May 2026APR0.8%1.2%1.6%
7 Apr 2026MAR1.6%–1.7%
5 Mar 2026FEB1.7%1.8%2.0%
6 Feb 2026JAN2%2.1%2.1%
8 Jan 2026DEC2.1%2.5%2.3%
4 Dec 2025NOV2.3%2.5%3.1%

לצפייה ביומן הכלכלי ←

למה זה חשוב

the Riksbank watches these measures to judge whether inflation is broad-based. When they agree with the headline, the trend is real; when they diverge, a few items are distorting the picture.

איך זה מחושב

A trimmed mean removes the items with the largest and smallest price changes (for example the top and bottom 15% by weight) and averages the rest; a weighted median takes the price change in the middle of the distribution. Other variants hold mortgage interest costs fixed or use common components.

מה המשמעות של שינויים

  • A trimmed mean or median near the target is the clearest sign that inflation is under control.
  • When the headline jumps but these do not, the move is likely temporary.

גבוה מהצפוי: A higher figure than expected makes the Riksbank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Swedish krona and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.

נמוך מהצפוי: A lower figure than expected gives the Riksbank room to cut or hold rates lower: the Swedish krona tends to soften and bond yields to fall.

היסטוריה קצרה

Trimmed means were developed in the 1990s (Bryan and Cecchetti at the Cleveland Fed); the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada give them a central place in their policy.

The Riksbank is the world's oldest central bank, founded in 1668.

שאלות

What is the Sweden CPIF YoY Prel?

The Sweden CPIF YoY Prel is an alternative measure of underlying inflation in Sweden, built to strip out one-off price jumps without simply dropping whole categories.

What was the latest Sweden CPIF YoY Prel?

1.1% for OCT, published on 5 November 2026 (consensus 1.4%, previous 1.5%).

When is the next Sweden CPIF YoY Prel?

On Friday 4 December 2026 at 07:00 UTC.

תוכן לימודי בלבד, לא ייעוץ השקעות. הנתונים הם התוצאות שפורסמו כפי שנרשמו ביומן שלנו; תגובות השוק המתוארות אופייניות, לא מובטחות.