Underlying inflation measures · Sweden
Sweden CPIF YoY Prel
The Sweden CPIF YoY Prel is an alternative measure of underlying inflation in Sweden, built to strip out one-off price jumps without simply dropping whole categories.
- Importance
- Low
- Publié
- Monthly
- Prochaine publication
- Devise
- SEK · Swedish krona
- Banque centrale
- The Riksbank
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication, pour OCT, est parue le 2026-11-05 et s’est établie à 1.1%. C’est en dessous du consensus de 1.4%. C’est moins que 1.5% la fois précédente.
A lower figure than expected gives the Riksbank room to cut or hold rates lower: the Swedish krona tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 0.7% à 2.3%, avec une moyenne de 1.4%.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2026 | OCT | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | SEP | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 7 Sep 2026 | AUG | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 6 Aug 2026 | JUL | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | JUN | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| 4 Jun 2026 | MAY | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| 6 May 2026 | APR | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% |
| 7 Apr 2026 | MAR | 1.6% | – | 1.7% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | FEB | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% |
| 6 Feb 2026 | JAN | 2% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 8 Jan 2026 | DEC | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | NOV | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% |
Pourquoi c’est important
the Riksbank watches these measures to judge whether inflation is broad-based. When they agree with the headline, the trend is real; when they diverge, a few items are distorting the picture.
Mode de calcul
A trimmed mean removes the items with the largest and smallest price changes (for example the top and bottom 15% by weight) and averages the rest; a weighted median takes the price change in the middle of the distribution. Other variants hold mortgage interest costs fixed or use common components.
Ce que signifient les variations
- A trimmed mean or median near the target is the clearest sign that inflation is under control.
- When the headline jumps but these do not, the move is likely temporary.
Supérieur aux attentes : A higher figure than expected makes the Riksbank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Swedish krona and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Inférieur aux attentes : A lower figure than expected gives the Riksbank room to cut or hold rates lower: the Swedish krona tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Un bref historique
Trimmed means were developed in the 1990s (Bryan and Cecchetti at the Cleveland Fed); the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada give them a central place in their policy.
The Riksbank is the world's oldest central bank, founded in 1668.
Questions
What is the Sweden CPIF YoY Prel?
The Sweden CPIF YoY Prel is an alternative measure of underlying inflation in Sweden, built to strip out one-off price jumps without simply dropping whole categories.
What was the latest Sweden CPIF YoY Prel?
1.1% for OCT, published on 5 November 2026 (consensus 1.4%, previous 1.5%).
When is the next Sweden CPIF YoY Prel?
On Friday 4 December 2026 at 07:00 UTC.
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