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Underlying inflation measures · Sweden

Sweden CPIF MoM Final

The Sweden CPIF MoM Final is an alternative measure of underlying inflation in Sweden, built to strip out one-off price jumps without simply dropping whole categories.

اهمیت
Low
منتشرشده
Monthly
انتشار بعدی
ارز
SEK · Swedish krona
بانک مرکزی
The Riksbank
اثر بر
EURSEK · GBPSEK · USDSEK

آخرین ارقام

آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-14 منتشر شد و 0.9% بود. این مطابق اجماع 0.9% است. این بیشتر از -0.2% در دفعه قبل است (بازنگری‌شده).

نتیجه‌ای مطابق پیش‌بینی معمولاً واکنش کمی ایجاد می‌کند: قبلاً در قیمت لحاظ شده بود.

در 12 انتشار اخیر بین -0.6% و 0.9% بود، با میانگین 0.1%.

Nov 2025: 0.4%Dec 2025: -0.2%Jan 2026: 0.1%Feb 2026: 0.3%Mar 2026: 0.6%Apr 2026: -0.6%May 2026: -0.6%Jun 2026: 0.9%Jul 2026: 0.3%Aug 2026: -0.3%Sep 2026: -0.3%Oct 2026: 0.9% Nov 2025Oct 2026
نتایج واقعی؛ خط کوتاه روی هر ستون، اجماع را نشان می‌دهد.
منتشرشدهبرایواقعیپیش‌بینیقبلی
14 Oct 2026SEP0.9%0.9%-0.2% ®
14 Sep 2026AUG-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%
13 Aug 2026JUL-0.3%-0.3%0.3%
15 Jul 2026JUN0.3%0.3%0.9%
11 Jun 2026MAY0.9%0.9%-0.6%
13 May 2026APR-0.6%-0.6%-0.6%
14 Apr 2026MAR-0.6%-0.6%0.6%
12 Mar 2026FEB0.6%0.6%0.3%
20 Feb 2026JAN0.3%0.2%0.1%
15 Jan 2026DEC0.1%0.1%-0.2%
11 Dec 2025NOV-0.2%–0.4%
13 Nov 2025OCT0.4%0.4%0.1%

در تقویم اقتصادی ببینید ←

چرا مهم است

the Riksbank watches these measures to judge whether inflation is broad-based. When they agree with the headline, the trend is real; when they diverge, a few items are distorting the picture.

روش محاسبه

A trimmed mean removes the items with the largest and smallest price changes (for example the top and bottom 15% by weight) and averages the rest; a weighted median takes the price change in the middle of the distribution. Other variants hold mortgage interest costs fixed or use common components.

تغییرات چه معنایی دارند

  • A trimmed mean or median near the target is the clearest sign that inflation is under control.
  • When the headline jumps but these do not, the move is likely temporary.

بالاتر از انتظار: A higher figure than expected makes the Riksbank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Swedish krona and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.

پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower figure than expected gives the Riksbank room to cut or hold rates lower: the Swedish krona tends to soften and bond yields to fall.

تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه

Trimmed means were developed in the 1990s (Bryan and Cecchetti at the Cleveland Fed); the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada give them a central place in their policy.

The Riksbank is the world's oldest central bank, founded in 1668.

پرسش‌ها

What is the Sweden CPIF MoM Final?

The Sweden CPIF MoM Final is an alternative measure of underlying inflation in Sweden, built to strip out one-off price jumps without simply dropping whole categories.

What was the latest Sweden CPIF MoM Final?

0.9% for SEP, published on 14 October 2026 (consensus 0.9%, previous -0.2%).

When is the next Sweden CPIF MoM Final?

On Thursday 12 November 2026 at 07:00 UTC.

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