Underlying inflation measures · United States
United States CPI s.a
The United States CPI s.a is an alternative measure of underlying inflation in the United States, built to strip out one-off price jumps without simply dropping whole categories.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-14 منتشر شد و 336.30 بود. این بیشتر از 334.13 در دفعه قبل است (بازنگری‌شده).
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 324.37 و 336.30 بود، با میانگین 330.16. سه انتشار پیاپی افزایش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | SEP | 336.30 | – | 334.13 ® |
| 11 Sep 2026 | AUG | 334.131 | – | 332.81 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | JUL | 332.81 | – | 332.57 ® |
| 14 Jul 2026 | JUN | 332.568 | – | 333.979 |
| 10 Jun 2026 | MAY | 333.979 | – | 332.407 |
| 12 May 2026 | APR | 332.407 | – | 330.293 |
| 10 Apr 2026 | MAR | 330.293 | – | 327.460 |
| 11 Mar 2026 | FEB | 327.460 | – | 326.588 |
| 13 Feb 2026 | JAN | 326.588 | – | 326.031 ® |
| 13 Jan 2026 | DEC | 326.030 | – | 325.031 |
| 18 Dec 2025 | NOV | 325.031 | – | – |
| 24 Oct 2025 | SEP | 324.368 | – | 323.364 |
چرا مهم است
the Federal Reserve watches these measures to judge whether inflation is broad-based. When they agree with the headline, the trend is real; when they diverge, a few items are distorting the picture.
روش محاسبه
A trimmed mean removes the items with the largest and smallest price changes (for example the top and bottom 15% by weight) and averages the rest; a weighted median takes the price change in the middle of the distribution. Other variants hold mortgage interest costs fixed or use common components.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- A trimmed mean or median near the target is the clearest sign that inflation is under control.
- When the headline jumps but these do not, the move is likely temporary.
بالاتر از انتظار: A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower figure than expected gives the Federal Reserve room to cut or hold rates lower: the US dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Trimmed means were developed in the 1990s (Bryan and Cecchetti at the Cleveland Fed); the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada give them a central place in their policy.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States CPI s.a?
The United States CPI s.a is an alternative measure of underlying inflation in the United States, built to strip out one-off price jumps without simply dropping whole categories.
What was the latest United States CPI s.a?
336.30 for SEP, published on 14 October 2026.
When is the next United States CPI s.a?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.