Leading and composite indicators · Portugal
Portugal Economic Activity YoY
The Portugal Economic Activity YoY combines several economic series for Portugal into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- اهمیت
- Low
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- ارز
- EUR · euro
- بانک مرکزی
- The European Central Bank (with the Banco de Portugal)
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای FEB، در 2026-03-20 منتشر شد و 2.1% بود. نسبت به 2.1% در دفعه قبل تغییری نکرده است (بازنگری‌شده).
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 1.5% و 2.3% بود، با میانگین 1.9%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | FEB | 2.1% | – | 2.1% ® |
| 20 Feb 2026 | JAN | 2.2% | – | 2.2% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | DEC | 2.2% | – | 2.1% ® |
| 19 Dec 2025 | NOV | 2.3% | – | 2.2% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | OCT | 2.2% | – | 1.8% |
| 17 Oct 2025 | SEP | 1.8% | – | 1.8% ® |
| 18 Sep 2025 | AUG | 1.6% | – | 1.7% |
| 15 Aug 2025 | JUL | 1.7% | – | 1.7% ® |
| 18 Jul 2025 | JUN | 1.5% | – | 1.6% |
| 23 Jun 2025 | MAY | 1.6% | – | 1.6% |
| 15 May 2025 | APR | 1.6% | – | 1.6% ® |
| 17 Apr 2025 | MAR | 2% | – | 1.9% ® |
چرا مهم است
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
روش محاسبه
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the euro and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the euro tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Portugal Economic Activity YoY?
The Portugal Economic Activity YoY combines several economic series for Portugal into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest Portugal Economic Activity YoY?
2.1% for FEB, published on 20 March 2026.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.