Business confidence · Japan
Japan BSI Large Manufacturing QoQ
The Japan BSI Large Manufacturing QoQ asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Quarterly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- JPY · Japanese yen
- بانک مرکزی
- The Bank of Japan
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای Q3، در 2026-09-10 منتشر شد و 7.6% بود. این بالاتر از اجماع 2.5% است. این بیشتر از -1.8% در دفعه قبل است.
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
در 7 انتشار اخیر بین -4.8% و 7.6% بود، با میانگین 1.6%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | Q3 | 7.6% | 2.5% | -1.8% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | Q2 | -1.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Q1 | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Q4 | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% |
| 10 Sep 2025 | Q3 | 3.8% | -3.3% | -4.8% |
| 11 Jun 2025 | Q2 | -4.8% | 0.8% | -2.4% |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Q1 | -2.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
چرا مهم است
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
روش محاسبه
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Japan BSI Large Manufacturing QoQ?
The Japan BSI Large Manufacturing QoQ asks companies in Japan how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest Japan BSI Large Manufacturing QoQ?
7.6% for Q3, published on 10 September 2026 (consensus 2.5%, previous -1.8%).
When is the next Japan BSI Large Manufacturing QoQ?
On Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 23:50 UTC.
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