GDP growth (quarterly) · Hong Kong
Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv
The Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv measures how much the economy of Hong Kong, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Quarterly
- ارز
- HKD · Hong Kong dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Hong Kong Monetary Authority
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای Q3، در 2026-11-03 منتشر شد و 1.9% بود. این بالاتر از اجماع 0.8% است. این بیشتر از -0.7% در دفعه قبل است (بازنگری‌شده).
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Hong Kong dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
در 8 انتشار اخیر بین -0.6% و 2.9% بود، با میانگین 1.1%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Q3 | 1.9% | 0.8% | -0.7% ® |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Q2 | -0.6% | -0.3% | 2.9% |
| 5 May 2026 | Q1 | 2.9% | – | 1.1% ® |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Q4 | 1% | – | 0.9% ® |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Q3 | 0.7% | – | 0.4% |
| 31 Jul 2025 | Q2 | 0.4% | -0.2% | 1.8% ® |
| 2 May 2025 | Q1 | 2% | – | 0.9% ® |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 0.8% | 0.5% | -0.1% ® |
چرا مهم است
GDP is the broadest measure of economic health. Two quarters of contraction are the common rule of thumb for a recession. Stronger growth supports corporate earnings, jobs and the Hong Kong dollar, and can push the Hong Kong Monetary Authority towards higher rates; a contraction raises the odds of cuts.
روش محاسبه
the Census and Statistics Department adds up spending in the economy: consumption + investment + government spending + exports − imports, measured at constant prices (real GDP) and adjusted for seasonal patterns. The first (advance or flash) estimate is revised as more data arrive. The US annualises the quarterly change.
GDP = C + I + G + (X − M)
Growth (qoq) = real GDP ÷ real GDP last quarter − 1
Annualised = (1 + qoq)⁴ − 1تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Compare with the consensus and with the previous quarter; the first estimate gets the biggest reaction.
- Look at the mix: growth from consumption and investment is healthier than growth from inventories.
- An annualised US figure of 2% is close to its long-run trend; 0.5% quarter on quarter is similar in European terms.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Hong Kong dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Hong Kong dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Simon Kuznets built the first national income accounts for the US Congress in 1934. GDP replaced GNP as the US headline measure in 1991; international standards are set in the UN System of National Accounts.
The Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar, so the base rate follows the Fed.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv?
The Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv measures how much the economy of Hong Kong, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
What was the latest Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv?
1.9% for Q3, published on 3 November 2026 (consensus 0.8%, previous -0.7%).
What is the difference between quarterly and annual GDP growth?
Quarterly growth compares with the previous quarter (the latest momentum); annual growth compares with the same quarter a year earlier.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.