Government bond yield · Germany
Germany 12-Month Bubill Auction
The Germany 12-Month Bubill Auction is the yield on Germany's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- اهمیت
- Low
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- EUR · euro
- بانک مرکزی
- The European Central Bank (with the Bundesbank)
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار در 2026-10-12 منتشر شد و 2.949% بود. این کمتر از 3.065% در دفعه قبل است.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 1.937% و 3.065% بود، با میانگین 2.411%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیشبینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | – | 2.949% | – | 3.065% |
| 14 Sep 2026 | – | 3.065% | – | 2.656% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | – | 2.656% | – | 2.566% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | – | 2.566% | – | 2.478% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | – | 2.478% | – | 2.482% |
| 11 May 2026 | – | 2.482% | – | 2.517% |
| 13 Apr 2026 | – | 2.517% | – | 2.270% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | – | 2.270% | – | 1.985% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | – | 1.985% | – | 2.004% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | – | 2.004% | – | 2.029% |
| 8 Dec 2025 | – | 2.029% | – | 1.937% |
| 17 Nov 2025 | – | 1.937% | – | 1.87% |
چرا مهم است
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the European Central Bank (with the Bundesbank)'s policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the euro; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
روش محاسبه
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
تاریخچهای کوتاه
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
پرسشها
What is the Germany 12-Month Bubill Auction?
The Germany 12-Month Bubill Auction is the yield on Germany's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest Germany 12-Month Bubill Auction?
2.949%, published on 12 October 2026.
When is the next Germany 12-Month Bubill Auction?
On Monday 16 November 2026 at 10:30 UTC.
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