Retail sales · China
China Retail Sales YoY
The China Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in China.
- اهمیت
- High
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
- بانک مرکزی
- The People's Bank of China
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-19 منتشر شد و 1.1% بود. این بالاتر از اجماع 0.5% است. این بیشتر از 0.4% در دفعه قبل است.
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین -0.6% و 3.0% بود، با میانگین 1.3%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | SEP | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | AUG | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | JUL | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | JUN | 1% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
| 16 Jun 2026 | MAY | -0.6% | 0% | 0.2% |
| 18 May 2026 | APR | 0.2% | 2% | 1.7% |
| 16 Apr 2026 | MAR | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | JAN-FEB | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | DEC | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | NOV | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | OCT | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3% |
| 20 Oct 2025 | SEP | 3% | 2.9% | 3.4% |
چرا مهم است
Retail sales are the most timely measure of household spending, the largest part of the economy. Strong sales support growth and the Chinese yuan (renminbi); weak sales raise recession worries. In the US the "control group" (without autos, petrol, building materials and food services) feeds directly into GDP.
روش محاسبه
the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) surveys retailers on their monthly sales; value figures include price changes, volume figures remove them. Seasonal adjustment removes holiday patterns.
Change (mom) = sales this month ÷ sales last month − 1تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Compare value and volume: rising value with falling volume is inflation, not stronger demand.
- Ex-autos and ex-fuel versions remove the most volatile parts.
- Revisions to the previous month can change the picture.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
The US Census Bureau has published monthly retail sales since the 1950s; most countries followed in the post-war decades.
پرسش‌ها
What is the China Retail Sales YoY?
The China Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in China.
What was the latest China Retail Sales YoY?
1.1% for SEP, published on 19 October 2026 (consensus 0.5%, previous 0.4%).
When is the next China Retail Sales YoY?
On Monday 16 November 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.