Industrial production · China
China Industrial Production YoY
The China Industrial Production YoY measures the output of factories, mines and utilities in China (or of one industry).
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
- بانک مرکزی
- The People's Bank of China
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-19 منتشر شد و 5.5% بود. این بالاتر از اجماع 5.4% است. این بیشتر از 5.2% در دفعه قبل است.
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 4.1% و 6.5% بود، با میانگین 5.2%. سه انتشار پیاپی افزایش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | SEP | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | AUG | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | JUL | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | JUN | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% |
| 16 Jun 2026 | MAY | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| 18 May 2026 | APR | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| 16 Apr 2026 | MAR | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | JAN-FEB | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | DEC | 5.2% | 5% | 4.8% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | NOV | 4.8% | 5% | 4.9% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | OCT | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% |
| 20 Oct 2025 | SEP | 6.5% | 5% | 5.2% |
چرا مهم است
Industry is a smaller share of output than services in most rich economies but it is far more cyclical and reacts first to global demand. Strong production supports growth estimates; capacity utilisation near its limits points to inflation pressure.
روش محاسبه
the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) combines physical output and deflated sales data for many industries into a volume index, adjusted for working days and seasons. Capacity utilisation divides output by estimated maximum output.
Change (mom) = index ÷ last month's index − 1
Capacity utilisation = output ÷ capacity × 100تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Monthly changes are noisy (weather, holidays, strikes); compare with the year-on-year rate.
- In Germany, Japan, Korea and China industry carries more weight for the currency.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
The US Federal Reserve has published its industrial production index since 1919; it is one of the series used to date US business cycles.
پرسش‌ها
What is the China Industrial Production YoY?
The China Industrial Production YoY measures the output of factories, mines and utilities in China (or of one industry).
What was the latest China Industrial Production YoY?
5.5% for SEP, published on 19 October 2026 (consensus 5.4%, previous 5.2%).
When is the next China Industrial Production YoY?
On Monday 16 November 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.