Current account and capital flows · China
China Current Account Prel
The China Current Account Prel measures money flowing between China and the rest of the world: trade, income and transfers (current account), or investment in and out of the country.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Quarterly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
- بانک مرکزی
- The People's Bank of China
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای Q2، در 2026-08-14 منتشر شد و $195.1B بود.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | Q2 | $195.1B | – | $184.3B |
| 15 May 2026 | Q1 | $184.1B | – | $243.8B |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Q4 | $242.1B | – | $198.7B |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Q3 | $195.6B | – | $128.7B |
| 8 Aug 2025 | Q2 | $135.1B | – | $165.4B |
| 9 May 2025 | Q1 | $165.6B | – | $163.8B |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Q4 | $180.7B | – | $147.6B |
چرا مهم است
A current-account deficit must be financed by foreign capital, which makes a currency vulnerable when investors turn cautious; a surplus country lends to the world. Capital-flow data show whether foreigners are buying the country's bonds and shares. Tourism and remittances are large sources of foreign currency for some economies.
روش محاسبه
The balance of payments records every transaction with non-residents: goods, services, income, transfers (current account) and investment (financial account); the two mirror each other.
Current account = trade balance + primary income + secondary income
Current account + capital account + financial account ≈ 0تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- A deficit above about 4–5% of GDP is often seen as a risk for emerging-market currencies.
- Large foreign purchases of local bonds support the currency.
بالاتر از انتظار: A larger surplus or stronger inflows than expected tend to support the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A larger deficit or weaker inflows than expected tend to weigh on the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Balance-of-payments accounting was standardised by the International Monetary Fund after 1945; current-account crises shaped events from the 1990s emerging-market crises to the euro debt crisis.
پرسش‌ها
What is the China Current Account Prel?
The China Current Account Prel measures money flowing between China and the rest of the world: trade, income and transfers (current account), or investment in and out of the country.
What was the latest China Current Account Prel?
$195.1B for Q2, published on 14 August 2026.
When is the next China Current Account Prel?
On Friday 13 November 2026 at 09:00 UTC.
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