Official forecasts and outlooks · United Kingdom
United Kingdom NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
The United Kingdom NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker is a published set of forecasts or an economic statement for the United Kingdom: growth, inflation, public finances or energy markets.
- Importance
- Low
- Released
- Monthly
- Next release
- Currency
- GBP · pound sterling
- Central bank
- The Bank of England
Latest figures
The latest release for SEP, published on 15 October 2026, came in at 0.7%, up from 0.5% the time before.
Over the last 12 releases it ranged from -0.1% to 0.8%, averaging 0.4%; it has been rising for three releases in a row.
| Released | For | Actual | Consensus | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | SEP | 0.7% | – | 0.5% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | AUG | 0.5% | – | 0.4% ® |
| 13 Aug 2026 | JUL | 0.2% | – | 0.4% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | JUN | 0.4% | – | 0.7% ® |
| 12 Jun 2026 | MAY | 0.5% | – | 0.7% ® |
| 14 May 2026 | APR | 0.8% | – | 0.6% |
| 16 Apr 2026 | MAR | 0.6% | – | 0.5% |
| 13 Mar 2026 | FEB | 0.3% | – | 0.2% ® |
| 12 Feb 2026 | JAN | 0.3% | – | -0.1% |
| 12 Dec 2025 | NOV | -0.1% | – | 0% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | OCT | 0% | – | 0.1% ® |
| 16 Oct 2025 | SEP | 0.3% | – | 0.3% |
Why it matters
Forecasts from governments, the IMF, the European Commission or the energy agencies shape expectations and policy. A budget statement with new forecasts can change government borrowing plans and bond yields; an energy outlook can move oil and gas prices.
How it is calculated
There is no single figure: the release contains projections built by economists from models and the latest data.
What changes mean
- Markets react to revisions: compare the new forecasts with the previous edition.
- Fiscal statements matter most when they change how much the government will borrow.
A short history
The IMF has published its World Economic Outlook since 1980; the IEA's monthly Oil Market Report started in the 1980s; many governments publish forecasts with their budgets.
Questions
What is the United Kingdom NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker?
The United Kingdom NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker is a published set of forecasts or an economic statement for the United Kingdom: growth, inflation, public finances or energy markets.
What was the latest United Kingdom NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker?
0.7% for SEP, published on 15 October 2026.
When is the next United Kingdom NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker?
On Thursday 12 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC.
Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.