Core inflation · Sweden

Sweden CPIF Ex Energy YoY Prel

The Sweden CPIF Ex Energy YoY Prel measures the rise in consumer prices in Sweden without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).

Importance
Medium
Prochaine publication
Devise
SEK · Swedish krona
Banque centrale
The Riksbank
Influence
EURSEK · GBPSEK · USDSEK

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Pourquoi c’est important

Food and energy prices jump with harvests and oil, then fall back. The core rate shows the underlying trend that the Riksbank can actually influence, so it often moves markets more than the headline. Services inflation, driven by wages, is the stickiest part.

Mode de calcul

Statistics Sweden (SCB) takes the consumer price index basket, removes the excluded items and re-weights the rest; the change is measured month on month and against the same month a year earlier.

Core inflation (yoy) = core index ÷ core index 12 months ago − 1

Ce que signifient les variations

  • A core rate falling towards the target lets the Riksbank ease; a stubborn core keeps rates high.
  • Monthly core changes of 0.2% compound to about 2.4% a year; 0.3% to about 3.7%.
  • Markets compare the figure with the consensus to one decimal; a 0.1-point surprise moves currencies.

Supérieur aux attentes : A higher figure than expected makes the Riksbank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the Swedish krona and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.

Inférieur aux attentes : A lower figure than expected gives the Riksbank room to cut or hold rates lower: the Swedish krona tends to soften and bond yields to fall.

Un bref historique

Economists Robert Gordon and others popularised excluding food and energy in the 1970s, when oil shocks made the headline rate misleading; most central banks now publish or watch a core measure.

The Riksbank is the world's oldest central bank, founded in 1668.

Questions

What is the Sweden CPIF Ex Energy YoY Prel?

The Sweden CPIF Ex Energy YoY Prel measures the rise in consumer prices in Sweden without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).

When is the next Sweden CPIF Ex Energy YoY Prel?

On Friday 4 December 2026 at 07:00 UTC.

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