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Balance of trade · Poland

Poland Balance of Trade

The Poland Balance of Trade shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that Poland sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.

Importance
Low
Released
Monthly
Next release
Currency
PLN · Polish zloty
Central bank
The National Bank of Poland
Moves
EURPLN# · USDPLN

Latest figures

The latest release for AUG, published on 14 October 2026, came in at €-3047M.

ReleasedForActualConsensusPrevious
14 Oct 2026AUG€-3047M–€-1446M ®
14 Sep 2026JUL€-1843M–€-1469M
13 Aug 2026JUN€-1469M–€-1182M
14 Jul 2026MAY€-1182M–€-1972M ®
12 Jun 2026APR€-1995M–€-497M
15 May 2026MAR€-497M–€-1043M ®
13 Apr 2026FEB€-1025M–€254M ®
16 Mar 2026JAN€378M–€-2298M
13 Feb 2026DEC€-2298M–€-1087M
13 Jan 2026NOV€-1087M–€443M ®
15 Dec 2025OCT€553M–€-1022M
13 Nov 2025SEP€-1022M–€-2152M ®

See it in the economic calendar →

Why it matters

Exports are a big part of demand for open economies (Germany, China, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands). A larger surplus means more foreign demand for the Polish zloty; strong imports signal domestic demand. China's figures are read as a gauge of world demand.

How it is calculated

Customs records the value of goods crossing the border; services come from surveys. The balance is exports minus imports, usually seasonally adjusted.

Trade balance = exports − imports

What changes mean

  • Look at exports and imports separately: a wider surplus from collapsing imports is a sign of weak domestic demand, not strength.
  • Exchange-rate moves take months to affect trade volumes (the J-curve).

Higher than expected: A larger surplus (or smaller deficit) than expected tends to support the Polish zloty.

Lower than expected: A smaller surplus (or larger deficit) than expected tends to weigh on the Polish zloty.

A short history

Trade balances were the obsession of mercantilism in the 16th–18th centuries; David Hume's price-specie flow mechanism (1752) explained why surpluses tend to correct themselves.

Questions

What is the Poland Balance of Trade?

The Poland Balance of Trade shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that Poland sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.

What was the latest Poland Balance of Trade?

€-3047M for AUG, published on 14 October 2026.

When is the next Poland Balance of Trade?

On Friday 13 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC.

Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.