GDP growth (annual) · Poland
Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel
The Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel measures how much the economy of Poland grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
- Importance
- Medium
- Released
- Quarterly
- Next release
- Currency
- PLN · Polish zloty
- Central bank
- The National Bank of Poland
Latest figures
The latest release for Q2, published on 13 August 2026, came in at 3.8%, in line with the consensus of 3.8%, up from 3.5% the time before.
A result in line with the consensus usually causes little reaction: it was already priced in.
Over the last 7 releases it ranged from 3.2% to 4.0%, averaging 3.5%.
| Released | For | Actual | Consensus | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| 14 May 2026 | Q1 | 3.4% | – | 4.1% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Q4 | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Q3 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% ® |
| 13 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| 15 May 2025 | Q1 | 3.2% | – | 3.4% ® |
| 13 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
Why it matters
The yearly rate is less noisy than the quarterly change and is the figure most people mean by "economic growth". It shapes the earnings outlook for local companies, tax revenue, and the National Bank of Poland's view of how much spare capacity the economy has.
How it is calculated
Statistics Poland (GUS) compares real GDP (after inflation) with the same quarter or year before; full-year figures sum the four quarters.
Growth (yoy) = real GDP ÷ real GDP a year ago − 1What changes mean
- Growth above the country's trend (about 1–2% for advanced economies, more for emerging ones) tends to raise inflation pressure.
- Annual growth turns only slowly; the quarterly figure shows turning points earlier.
Higher than expected: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Polish zloty and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Lower than expected: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Polish zloty tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
A short history
Annual national accounts spread after the Second World War under the UN System of National Accounts (first edition 1953).
Questions
What is the Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel?
The Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel measures how much the economy of Poland grew compared with the same period a year earlier.
What was the latest Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel?
3.8% for Q2, published on 13 August 2026 (consensus 3.8%, previous 3.5%).
When is the next Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel?
On Friday 13 November 2026 at 08:30 UTC.
Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.