GDP growth (annual) · Poland

Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel

The Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel measures how much the economy of Poland grew compared with the same period a year earlier.

Importance
Medium
Released
Quarterly
Next release
Currency
PLN · Polish zloty
Central bank
The National Bank of Poland
Moves
EURPLN# · USDPLN

Latest figures

The latest release for Q2, published on 13 August 2026, came in at 3.8%, in line with the consensus of 3.8%, up from 3.5% the time before.

A result in line with the consensus usually causes little reaction: it was already priced in.

Over the last 7 releases it ranged from 3.2% to 4.0%, averaging 3.5%.

Feb 2025: 3.2%May 2025: 3.2%Aug 2025: 3.4%Nov 2025: 3.7%Feb 2026: 4.0%May 2026: 3.4%Aug 2026: 3.8% Feb 2025Aug 2026
Actual results; the short line on a bar marks the consensus.
ReleasedForActualConsensusPrevious
13 Aug 2026Q23.8%3.8%3.5%
14 May 2026Q13.4%–4.1%
12 Feb 2026Q44.0%3.9%3.8%
13 Nov 2025Q33.7%3.7%3.3% ®
13 Aug 2025Q23.4%3.3%3.2%
15 May 2025Q13.2%–3.4% ®
13 Feb 2025Q43.2%3.2%2.7%

See it in the economic calendar →

Why it matters

The yearly rate is less noisy than the quarterly change and is the figure most people mean by "economic growth". It shapes the earnings outlook for local companies, tax revenue, and the National Bank of Poland's view of how much spare capacity the economy has.

How it is calculated

Statistics Poland (GUS) compares real GDP (after inflation) with the same quarter or year before; full-year figures sum the four quarters.

Growth (yoy) = real GDP ÷ real GDP a year ago − 1

What changes mean

  • Growth above the country's trend (about 1–2% for advanced economies, more for emerging ones) tends to raise inflation pressure.
  • Annual growth turns only slowly; the quarterly figure shows turning points earlier.

Higher than expected: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Polish zloty and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Lower than expected: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Polish zloty tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

A short history

Annual national accounts spread after the Second World War under the UN System of National Accounts (first edition 1953).

Questions

What is the Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel?

The Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel measures how much the economy of Poland grew compared with the same period a year earlier.

What was the latest Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel?

3.8% for Q2, published on 13 August 2026 (consensus 3.8%, previous 3.5%).

When is the next Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel?

On Friday 13 November 2026 at 08:30 UTC.

Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.