GDP components · Japan

Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex

The Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex is one part of the national accounts of Japan: what households spend, what businesses invest, what they earn, or how productive workers are.

Importance
Medium
Released
Quarterly
Next release
Currency
JPY · Japanese yen
Central bank
The Bank of Japan

Latest figures

The latest release for Q3, published on 30 September 2026, came in at 11.3%, below the consensus of 12.3%, down from 11.5% the time before.

A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

Over the last 7 releases it ranged from 3.1% to 12.6%, averaging 9.4%.

Mar 2025: 3.1%Jun 2025: 11.5%Sep 2025: 12.5%Dec 2025: 12.6%Mar 2026: 3.3%Jun 2026: 11.5%Sep 2026: 11.3% Mar 2025Sep 2026
Actual results; the short line on a bar marks the consensus.
ReleasedForActualConsensusPrevious
30 Sep 2026Q311.3%12.3%11.5%
30 Jun 2026Q211.5%–3.3%
31 Mar 2026Q13.3%–12.6%
14 Dec 2025Q412.6%12%12.5%
30 Sep 2025Q312.5%–11.5%
30 Jun 2025Q211.5%–3.1%
31 Mar 2025Q13.1%–11.3%

See it in the economic calendar →

Why it matters

GDP's headline hides its drivers. Household spending is usually the largest part of demand; investment is the most cyclical and tells you about firms' confidence; productivity and labour costs decide whether growth can continue without inflation.

How it is calculated

the Statistics Bureau and the Cabinet Office estimates each component from surveys, tax and trade data, after inflation where noted ("real").

What changes mean

  • Strong spending with weak income growth cannot last: watch the savings rate.
  • Productivity growth lets wages rise without pushing up prices; unit labour costs show the opposite.

Higher than expected: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Lower than expected: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

A short history

The components follow the expenditure approach to GDP set out by Keynesian economics in the 1930s and standardised in the System of National Accounts.

Questions

What is the Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex?

The Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex is one part of the national accounts of Japan: what households spend, what businesses invest, what they earn, or how productive workers are.

What was the latest Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex?

11.3% for Q3, published on 30 September 2026 (consensus 12.3%, previous 11.5%).

When is the next Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex?

On Sunday 13 December 2026 at 23:50 UTC.

Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.