Retail sales · United States
United States Redbook YoY
The United States Redbook YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in the United States.
- Важность
- Low
- Опубликовано
- Weekly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за OCT/31, вышла 2026-11-03; значение: 10.4%. Это выше, чем 9.3% в прошлый раз.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 7.6% до 10.4%, в среднем 8.9%. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | OCT/31 | 10.4% | – | 9.3% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | OCT/24 | 9.3% | – | 9% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | OCT/17 | 9% | – | 10.4% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | OCT/10 | 10.4% | – | 8.6% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | OCT/03 | 8.6% | – | 8.2% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | SEP/26 | 8.2% | – | 7.6% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | SEP/19 | 7.6% | – | 8.5% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | SEP/12 | 8.5% | – | 8.3% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | SEP/05 | 8.3% | – | 9.6% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | AUG/29 | 9.6% | – | 9.1% |
| 25 Aug 2026 | AUG/22 | 9.1% | – | 7.6% |
| 18 Aug 2026 | AUG/15 | 7.6% | – | 8.3% |
Почему это важно
Retail sales are the most timely measure of household spending, the largest part of the economy. Strong sales support growth and the US dollar; weak sales raise recession worries. In the US the "control group" (without autos, petrol, building materials and food services) feeds directly into GDP.
Как считается
the Bureau of Labor Statistics (prices and jobs), the Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP, income and spending) and the Census Bureau (retail sales, housing, trade) surveys retailers on their monthly sales; value figures include price changes, volume figures remove them. Seasonal adjustment removes holiday patterns.
Change (mom) = sales this month ÷ sales last month − 1Что означают изменения
- Compare value and volume: rising value with falling volume is inflation, not stronger demand.
- Ex-autos and ex-fuel versions remove the most volatile parts.
- Revisions to the previous month can change the picture.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
The US Census Bureau has published monthly retail sales since the 1950s; most countries followed in the post-war decades.
Вопросы
What is the United States Redbook YoY?
The United States Redbook YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in the United States.
What was the latest United States Redbook YoY?
10.4% for OCT/31, published on 3 November 2026.
When is the next United States Redbook YoY?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 13:55 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.