GDP growth (quarterly) · United States
United States GDP Sales QoQ 2nd Est
The United States GDP Sales QoQ 2nd Est measures how much the economy of the United States, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q2, вышла 2026-08-26; значение: 2.2%. Это соответствует консенсус-прогнозу 2.2%. Это выше, чем 1.9% в прошлый раз.
Результат в рамках консенсуса обычно вызывает слабую реакцию: он уже заложен в цену.
За последние 6 публикаций значение колебалось от -2.9% до 6.8%, в среднем 1.9%. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| 28 May 2026 | Q1 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Q4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 4.5% |
| 28 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 6.8% | 6.3% | -3.1% |
| 29 May 2025 | Q1 | -2.9% | -2.5% | 3.3% |
| 27 Feb 2025 | Q4 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% |
Почему это важно
GDP is the broadest measure of economic health. Two quarters of contraction are the common rule of thumb for a recession. Stronger growth supports corporate earnings, jobs and the US dollar, and can push the Federal Reserve towards higher rates; a contraction raises the odds of cuts.
Как считается
the Bureau of Labor Statistics (prices and jobs), the Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP, income and spending) and the Census Bureau (retail sales, housing, trade) adds up spending in the economy: consumption + investment + government spending + exports − imports, measured at constant prices (real GDP) and adjusted for seasonal patterns. The first (advance or flash) estimate is revised as more data arrive. The US annualises the quarterly change.
GDP = C + I + G + (X − M)
Growth (qoq) = real GDP ÷ real GDP last quarter − 1
Annualised = (1 + qoq)⁴ − 1Что означают изменения
- Compare with the consensus and with the previous quarter; the first estimate gets the biggest reaction.
- Look at the mix: growth from consumption and investment is healthier than growth from inventories.
- An annualised US figure of 2% is close to its long-run trend; 0.5% quarter on quarter is similar in European terms.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Simon Kuznets built the first national income accounts for the US Congress in 1934. GDP replaced GNP as the US headline measure in 1991; international standards are set in the UN System of National Accounts.
Вопросы
What is the United States GDP Sales QoQ 2nd Est?
The United States GDP Sales QoQ 2nd Est measures how much the economy of the United States, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
What was the latest United States GDP Sales QoQ 2nd Est?
2.2% for Q2, published on 26 August 2026 (consensus 2.2%, previous 1.9%).
When is the next United States GDP Sales QoQ 2nd Est?
On Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
What is the difference between quarterly and annual GDP growth?
Quarterly growth compares with the previous quarter (the latest momentum); annual growth compares with the same quarter a year earlier.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.