GDP growth (quarterly) · United States
United States Atlanta Fed GDPNow
The United States Atlanta Fed GDPNow measures how much the economy of the United States, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Weekly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за Q4, вышла 2026-11-04; значение: 3.4%. Это ниже, чем 3.7% в прошлый раз.
За последние 9 публикаций значение колебалось от 3.2% до 3.7%, в среднем 3.4%. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | Q4 | 3.4% | – | 3.7% |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Q4 | 3.3% | – | 3.4% ® |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Q4 | 3.2% | – | 3.3% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Q3 | 3.3% | – | 3.4% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Q3 | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Q3 | 3.5% | – | 3.6% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Q3 | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Q3 | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Q3 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
Почему это важно
GDP is the broadest measure of economic health. Two quarters of contraction are the common rule of thumb for a recession. Stronger growth supports corporate earnings, jobs and the US dollar, and can push the Federal Reserve towards higher rates; a contraction raises the odds of cuts.
Как считается
the Bureau of Labor Statistics (prices and jobs), the Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP, income and spending) and the Census Bureau (retail sales, housing, trade) adds up spending in the economy: consumption + investment + government spending + exports − imports, measured at constant prices (real GDP) and adjusted for seasonal patterns. The first (advance or flash) estimate is revised as more data arrive. The US annualises the quarterly change.
GDP = C + I + G + (X − M)
Growth (qoq) = real GDP ÷ real GDP last quarter − 1
Annualised = (1 + qoq)⁴ − 1Что означают изменения
- Compare with the consensus and with the previous quarter; the first estimate gets the biggest reaction.
- Look at the mix: growth from consumption and investment is healthier than growth from inventories.
- An annualised US figure of 2% is close to its long-run trend; 0.5% quarter on quarter is similar in European terms.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Simon Kuznets built the first national income accounts for the US Congress in 1934. GDP replaced GNP as the US headline measure in 1991; international standards are set in the UN System of National Accounts.
Вопросы
What is the United States Atlanta Fed GDPNow?
The United States Atlanta Fed GDPNow measures how much the economy of the United States, the total value of goods and services it produces after inflation, grew compared with the previous quarter.
What was the latest United States Atlanta Fed GDPNow?
3.4% for Q4, published on 4 November 2026.
When is the next United States Atlanta Fed GDPNow?
On Monday 9 November 2026.
What is the difference between quarterly and annual GDP growth?
Quarterly growth compares with the previous quarter (the latest momentum); annual growth compares with the same quarter a year earlier.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.