Government bond yield · Japan
Japan 30-Year JGB Auction
The Japan 30-Year JGB Auction is the yield on Japan's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- Важность
- Low
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- JPY · Japanese yen
- Центральный банк
- The Bank of Japan
Последние данные
Последняя публикация вышла 2026-10-08; значение: 4.109%. Это выше, чем 4.100% в прошлый раз.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 3.166% до 4.109%, в среднем 3.716%. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | – | 4.109% | – | 4.100% |
| 3 Sep 2026 | – | 4.100% | – | 3.937% |
| 6 Aug 2026 | – | 3.937% | – | 3.993% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | – | 3.993% | – | 3.860% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | – | 3.860% | – | 3.842% |
| 14 May 2026 | – | 3.842% | – | 3.697% |
| 7 Apr 2026 | – | 3.697% | – | 3.398% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | – | 3.398% | – | 3.615% |
| 5 Feb 2026 | – | 3.615% | – | 3.447% |
| 8 Jan 2026 | – | 3.447% | – | 3.427% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | – | 3.427% | – | 3.166% |
| 11 Nov 2025 | – | 3.166% | – | 3.248% |
Почему это важно
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Bank of Japan's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the Japanese yen; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
Как считается
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationЧто означают изменения
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
Краткая история
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
Вопросы
What is the Japan 30-Year JGB Auction?
The Japan 30-Year JGB Auction is the yield on Japan's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest Japan 30-Year JGB Auction?
4.109%, published on 8 October 2026.
When is the next Japan 30-Year JGB Auction?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 03:35 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.