Japan 3-Month Bill Auction

Последние данные

Последняя публикация вышла 2026-11-06; значение: 1.2410%. Это ниже, чем 1.2706% в прошлый раз.

За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 1.0794% до 1.2803%, в среднем 1.2049%.

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Почему это важно

Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Bank of Japan's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the Japanese yen; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.

Как считается

The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.

Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflation

Что означают изменения

• Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
• An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
• Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.

Краткая история

Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.

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