Unemployment rate · India
India Unemployment Rate
The India Unemployment Rate measures the share of the labour force in India, people working or actively looking for work, who have no job but want one.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- INR · Indian rupee
- Центральный банк
- The Reserve Bank of India
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за SEP, вышла 2026-10-15; значение: 5%. Это ниже консенсус-прогноза 5.2%. Без изменений по сравнению с 5% в прошлый раз.
A lower unemployment rate than expected signals a tight labour market: it tends to support the Indian rupee and push bond yields up.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 4.7% до 5.5%, в среднем 5.1%.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | SEP | 5% | 5.2% | 5% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | AUG | 5% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | JUL | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | JUN | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | MAY | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| 15 May 2026 | APR | 5.2% | – | 5.1% |
| 15 Apr 2026 | MAR | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | FEB | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | JAN | 5% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | DEC | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | NOV | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| 17 Nov 2025 | OCT | 5.2% | – | 5.2% |
Почему это важно
Full employment is part of most central banks' mandate. A falling unemployment rate means a tighter labour market, faster wage growth and more inflation pressure, which can keep the Reserve Bank of India hawkish; a rising rate is one of the clearest recession signals (the US "Sahm rule" flags a 0.5-point rise in the three-month average).
Как считается
the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (NSO) usually runs a household survey: people are counted as unemployed if they had no work, were available and looked for a job recently. The rate is unemployed ÷ (employed + unemployed). Registered jobless and claimant counts instead count people signed on for benefits. Participation is the labour force ÷ working-age population.
Unemployment rate = unemployed ÷ labour force × 100
Labour force = employed + unemployedЧто означают изменения
- A lower rate than expected usually supports the Indian rupee.
- Check participation: unemployment can fall because people stop looking, which is not good news.
- Broader measures (US U-6) include part-timers who want more hours.
Выше ожиданий: A higher unemployment rate than expected points to a weakening labour market: the Indian rupee tends to soften as markets price in lower rates.
Ниже ожиданий: A lower unemployment rate than expected signals a tight labour market: it tends to support the Indian rupee and push bond yields up.
Краткая история
Systematic unemployment statistics began in the 1930s Depression; the International Labour Organization's definition, adopted in 1982, is used by most countries today.
Вопросы
What is the India Unemployment Rate?
The India Unemployment Rate measures the share of the labour force in India, people working or actively looking for work, who have no job but want one.
What was the latest India Unemployment Rate?
5% for SEP, published on 15 October 2026 (consensus 5.2%, previous 5%).
When is the next India Unemployment Rate?
On Monday 16 November 2026 at 10:30 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.