Purchasing managers' index (PMI) · Romania

Romania BCR Manufacturing PMI

The Romania BCR Manufacturing PMI is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in Romania that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.

חשיבות
Medium
מטבע
RON · Romanian leu
בנק מרכזי
The National Bank of Romania
משפיע על
MICRON

הנתונים האחרונים

הפרסום האחרון, עבור FEB, יצא ב-2025-03-03 ועמד על 48.3. זו עלייה מ-46.1 בפעם הקודמת.

פורסםעבורבפועלקונצנזוסקודם
3 Mar 2025FEB48.3–46.1

לצפייה ביומן הכלכלי ←

למה זה חשוב

PMIs are among the first data published for each month, weeks before official output figures, and they have a good record of tracking GDP. A reading above 50 means growth, below 50 contraction. Flash (preliminary) PMIs for the major economies can move currencies and stock indices strongly.

איך זה מחושב

Companies answer whether each item (output, new orders, employment, delivery times, stocks of purchases) is higher, the same or lower than a month earlier. Each answer set becomes a diffusion index; the manufacturing headline is a weighted average of five of them, the services headline is the activity question.

Diffusion index = % higher + ½ × % same
Manufacturing PMI = 0.30 new orders + 0.25 output + 0.20 employment + 0.15 delivery times (inverted) + 0.10 stocks

מה המשמעות של שינויים

  • Above 50 and rising: an accelerating economy, supportive for the Romanian leu and local stocks.
  • The composite PMI combines manufacturing and services and is the best single guide to GDP.
  • Look at new orders (future activity) and prices charged (inflation pressure).

גבוה מהצפוי: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Romanian leu and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

נמוך מהצפוי: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Romanian leu tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

היסטוריה קצרה

The PMI method comes from the US purchasing managers' survey of the 1940s; the PMIs now produced for more than 40 countries started in the UK in 1992 and spread across Europe and Asia in the following decades.

שאלות

What is the Romania BCR Manufacturing PMI?

The Romania BCR Manufacturing PMI is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in Romania that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.

What was the latest Romania BCR Manufacturing PMI?

48.3 for FEB, published on 3 March 2025.

Why is 50 the key level of a PMI?

It is the point where as many companies report improvement as report deterioration: above it, activity is growing.

תוכן לימודי בלבד, לא ייעוץ השקעות. הנתונים הם התוצאות שפורסמו כפי שנרשמו ביומן שלנו; תגובות השוק המתוארות אופייניות, לא מובטחות.