Inflation rate (consumer prices) · Italy
Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel
The Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel measures how much the prices that households in Italy pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
- חשיבות
- High
- פורסם
- Monthly
- הפרסום הבא
- מטבע
- EUR · euro
- בנק מרכזי
- The European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia)
הנתונים האחרונים
הפרסום האחרון, עבור OCT, יצא ב-2026-10-30 ועמד על 5.4%. זה מעל הקונצנזוס של 4.6%. זו עלייה מ-4.2% בפעם הקודמת.
A higher figure than expected makes the European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia) more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the euro and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
ב-12 הפרסומים האחרונים הערך נע בין 1.0% ל-5.4%, בממוצע 2.6%. הנתון עולה שלושה פרסומים ברציפות.
| פורסם | עבור | בפועל | קונצנזוס | קודם |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | OCT | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | SEP | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | AUG | 3.3% | – | 2.9% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | JUL | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | JUN | 3% | 3.1% | 3.2% |
| 29 May 2026 | MAY | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | APR | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | MAR | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | FEB | 1.6% | – | 1% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | JAN | 1% | 1% | 1.2% |
| 7 Jan 2026 | DEC | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | NOV | 1.2% | – | 1.2% |
למה זה חשוב
Inflation is what the European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia) is charged with controlling, so this is one of the most market-moving releases of the month. A figure above expectations makes rate hikes (or a longer wait for cuts) more likely, which usually lifts the euro and bond yields; a soft figure does the reverse. It also drives wages, pensions and benefits that are linked to prices.
איך זה מחושב
Istat collects many thousands of prices every month (food, rent, energy, transport, clothing, services) and weights them by how much households spend on each, from household surveys. The index compares the cost of the basket with a base year; the inflation rate is the change from the same month a year earlier.
CPI = Σ (price now ÷ base price) × weight × 100
Inflation (yoy) = CPI ÷ CPI 12 months ago − 1מה המשמעות של שינויים
- Above the central bank's target (usually 2%) and rising: pressure for higher rates.
- Look at the core rate and services prices to see if the move is broad or driven by energy and food.
- Base effects: a big jump a year ago drops out of the yearly rate and can make it fall even if prices keep rising.
- Markets react to the difference from the consensus, often to a single decimal.
גבוה מהצפוי: A higher figure than expected makes the European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia) more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the euro and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
נמוך מהצפוי: A lower figure than expected gives the European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia) room to cut or hold rates lower: the euro tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
היסטוריה קצרה
The United States began publishing a national consumer price index in 1919, the United Kingdom's index goes back to 1914. Inflation targeting, started by New Zealand in 1990, made this release the centre of monetary policy almost everywhere.
שאלות
What is the Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel?
The Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel measures how much the prices that households in Italy pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
What was the latest Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel?
5.4% for OCT, published on 30 October 2026 (consensus 4.6%, previous 4.2%).
When is the next Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel?
On Monday 30 November 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
What is a good inflation rate?
Most central banks, including the European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia) in many cases, aim for about 2% a year: low enough not to erode savings, high enough to avoid deflation.
Why does the Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel move the euro?
Because it changes what traders expect the European Central Bank (with the Banca d'Italia) to do with the ECB's rates, and interest rates decide what holding the currency pays.
תוכן לימודי בלבד, לא ייעוץ השקעות. הנתונים הם התוצאות שפורסמו כפי שנרשמו ביומן שלנו; תגובות השוק המתוארות אופייניות, לא מובטחות.