Purchasing managers' index (PMI) · China

China NBS Non Manufacturing PMI

The China NBS Non Manufacturing PMI is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in China that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.

חשיבות
Medium
פורסם
Monthly
הפרסום הבא
מטבע
CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
בנק מרכזי
The People's Bank of China
משפיע על
GAUCNH · USDCNH · XAUCNH

הנתונים האחרונים

הפרסום האחרון, עבור OCT, יצא ב-2026-10-31 ועמד על 49.7. זה מתחת לקונצנזוס של 50.5. זה ירידה מ-50.2 בפעם הקודמת.

A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

ב-12 הפרסומים האחרונים הערך נע בין 49.0 ל-50.2, בממוצע 49.7.

Nov 2025: 49.5Dec 2025: 50.2Jan 2026: 49.4Mar 2026: 49.5Mar 2026: 50.1Apr 2026: 49.4May 2026: 50.1Jun 2026: 50.2Jul 2026: 49.0Aug 2026: 49.0Sep 2026: 50.2Oct 2026: 49.7 Nov 2025Oct 2026
תוצאות בפועל; הקו הקצר על עמודה מסמן את הקונצנזוס.
פורסםעבורבפועלקונצנזוסקודם
31 Oct 2026OCT49.750.550.2
30 Sep 2026SEP50.249.349.0
31 Aug 2026AUG49.049.549.0
31 Jul 2026JUL49.050.050.2
30 Jun 2026JUN50.249.950.1
31 May 2026MAY50.149.549.4
30 Apr 2026APR49.449.950.1
31 Mar 2026MAR50.149.949.5
4 Mar 2026FEB49.549.849.4
31 Jan 2026JAN49.450.350.2
31 Dec 2025DEC50.249.849.5
30 Nov 2025NOV49.550.050.1

לצפייה ביומן הכלכלי ←

למה זה חשוב

PMIs are among the first data published for each month, weeks before official output figures, and they have a good record of tracking GDP. A reading above 50 means growth, below 50 contraction. Flash (preliminary) PMIs for the major economies can move currencies and stock indices strongly.

איך זה מחושב

Companies answer whether each item (output, new orders, employment, delivery times, stocks of purchases) is higher, the same or lower than a month earlier. Each answer set becomes a diffusion index; the manufacturing headline is a weighted average of five of them, the services headline is the activity question.

Diffusion index = % higher + ½ × % same
Manufacturing PMI = 0.30 new orders + 0.25 output + 0.20 employment + 0.15 delivery times (inverted) + 0.10 stocks

מה המשמעות של שינויים

  • Above 50 and rising: an accelerating economy, supportive for the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks.
  • The composite PMI combines manufacturing and services and is the best single guide to GDP.
  • Look at new orders (future activity) and prices charged (inflation pressure).

גבוה מהצפוי: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

נמוך מהצפוי: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

היסטוריה קצרה

The PMI method comes from the US purchasing managers' survey of the 1940s; the PMIs now produced for more than 40 countries started in the UK in 1992 and spread across Europe and Asia in the following decades.

שאלות

What is the China NBS Non Manufacturing PMI?

The China NBS Non Manufacturing PMI is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in China that measures whether business activity, new orders, employment and prices are rising or falling.

What was the latest China NBS Non Manufacturing PMI?

49.7 for OCT, published on 31 October 2026 (consensus 50.5, previous 50.2).

When is the next China NBS Non Manufacturing PMI?

On Monday 30 November 2026 at 01:30 UTC.

Why is 50 the key level of a PMI?

It is the point where as many companies report improvement as report deterioration: above it, activity is growing.

תוכן לימודי בלבד, לא ייעוץ השקעות. הנתונים הם התוצאות שפורסמו כפי שנרשמו ביומן שלנו; תגובות השוק המתוארות אופייניות, לא מובטחות.