Monetary policy statement and projections · United States

United States Interest Rate Projection - Longer

The United States Interest Rate Projection - Longer is the Federal Reserve's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

Importance
High
Publié
Quarterly
Prochaine publication
Devise
USD · US dollar
Banque centrale
The Federal Reserve
Influence
AUDUSD · EURUSD · GAUUSD · GBPUSD · NZDUSD · USDCAD · USDCHF · USDCNH

Derniers chiffres

La dernière publication est parue le 2026-09-16 et s’est établie à 3.2%. C’est plus que 3.1% la fois précédente.

Sur les 7 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 3.0% à 3.2%, avec une moyenne de 3.1%.

Mar 2025: 3%Jun 2025: 3%Sep 2025: 3%Dec 2025: 3%Mar 2026: 3.1%Jun 2026: 3.1%Sep 2026: 3.2% Mar 2025Sep 2026
Résultats réels ; le petit trait sur une barre indique le consensus.
PubliéPourRéelConsensusPrécédent
16 Sep 2026–3.2%–3.1%
17 Jun 2026–3.1%–3.1%
18 Mar 2026–3.1%–3%
10 Dec 2025–3%–3%
17 Sep 2025–3%–3%
18 Jun 2025–3%–3%
19 Mar 2025–3%–3%

Voir dans le calendrier économique →

Pourquoi c’est important

The words and the forecasts tell markets where the federal funds target range is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the US dollar and bond yields more than the decision itself.

Mode de calcul

There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.

Ce que signifient les variations

  • Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
  • Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.

Supérieur aux attentes : Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the US dollar and bond yields.

Inférieur aux attentes : Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the US dollar and lower bond yields.

Un bref historique

Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.

Questions

What is the United States Interest Rate Projection - Longer?

The United States Interest Rate Projection - Longer is the Federal Reserve's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

What was the latest United States Interest Rate Projection - Longer?

3.2%, published on 16 September 2026.

When is the next United States Interest Rate Projection - Longer?

On Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:00 UTC.

Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.