Monetary policy statement and projections · Canada

Canada BoC Rate Statement

The Canada BoC Rate Statement is the Bank of Canada's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

Importance
High
Prochaine publication
Devise
CAD · Canadian dollar
Banque centrale
The Bank of Canada
Influence
AUDCAD · CADCHF · CADJPY · EURCAD · GBPCAD · NZDCAD · USDCAD

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Pourquoi c’est important

The words and the forecasts tell markets where the overnight rate target is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the Canadian dollar and bond yields more than the decision itself.

Mode de calcul

There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.

Ce que signifient les variations

  • Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
  • Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.

Supérieur aux attentes : Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the Canadian dollar and bond yields.

Inférieur aux attentes : Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the Canadian dollar and lower bond yields.

Un bref historique

Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.

Questions

What is the Canada BoC Rate Statement?

The Canada BoC Rate Statement is the Bank of Canada's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

When is the next Canada BoC Rate Statement?

On Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 14:45 UTC.

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