Leading and composite indicators · Japan
Japan Leading Economic Index Prel
The Japan Leading Economic Index Prel combines several economic series for Japan into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- Importance
- Medium
- Publié
- Monthly
- Prochaine publication
- Devise
- JPY · Japanese yen
- Banque centrale
- The Bank of Japan
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication, pour AUG, est parue le 2026-10-07 et s’est établie à 118.0. C’est en dessous du consensus de 118.1. C’est plus que 117.6 la fois précédente (révisé).
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 108.0 à 118.0, avec une moyenne de 113.6. Elle a augmenté trois publications d’affilée.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | AUG | 118.0 | 118.1 | 117.6 ® |
| 7 Sep 2026 | JUL | 117.9 | 118.1 | 116.2 ® |
| 7 Aug 2026 | JUN | 116.4 | 116.5 | 116.4 ® |
| 7 Jul 2026 | MAY | 116.8 | 116.9 | 116.1 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | APR | 115.9 | 114.3 | 115.4 ® |
| 12 May 2026 | MAR | 114.5 | 114.6 | 113.2 ® |
| 7 Apr 2026 | FEB | 112.4 | 112.3 | 112.1 |
| 9 Mar 2026 | JAN | 112.4 | 113.2 | 110.3 ® |
| 6 Feb 2026 | DEC | 110.2 | 109.8 | 109.9 |
| 9 Jan 2026 | NOV | 110.5 | 110.4 | 109.8 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | OCT | 110.0 | 109.3 | 108.2 ® |
| 10 Nov 2025 | SEP | 108.0 | 107.9 | 107.0 |
Pourquoi c’est important
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
Mode de calcul
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
Ce que signifient les variations
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
Supérieur aux attentes : A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Inférieur aux attentes : A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Un bref historique
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
Questions
What is the Japan Leading Economic Index Prel?
The Japan Leading Economic Index Prel combines several economic series for Japan into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest Japan Leading Economic Index Prel?
118.0 for AUG, published on 7 October 2026 (consensus 118.1, previous 117.6).
When is the next Japan Leading Economic Index Prel?
On Monday 9 November 2026 at 05:00 UTC.
Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.