Leading and composite indicators · Japan
Japan Leading Economic Index Prel
The Japan Leading Economic Index Prel combines several economic series for Japan into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- الأهمية
- Medium
- صدر
- Monthly
- الإصدار التالي
- العملة
- JPY · Japanese yen
- البنك المركزي
- The Bank of Japan
أحدث الأرقام
صدر آخر إصدار، عن AUG، في 2026-10-07 وجاء عند 118.0. هذا أدنى من الإجماع البالغ 118.1. هذا أعلى من 117.6 في المرة السابقة (معدّل).
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
خلال آخر 12 إصدارات تراوح بين 108.0 و118.0، بمتوسط 113.6. ظل يرتفع لثلاثة إصدارات متتالية.
| صدر | المدة | الفعلي | التوقعات | السابق |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | AUG | 118.0 | 118.1 | 117.6 ® |
| 7 Sep 2026 | JUL | 117.9 | 118.1 | 116.2 ® |
| 7 Aug 2026 | JUN | 116.4 | 116.5 | 116.4 ® |
| 7 Jul 2026 | MAY | 116.8 | 116.9 | 116.1 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | APR | 115.9 | 114.3 | 115.4 ® |
| 12 May 2026 | MAR | 114.5 | 114.6 | 113.2 ® |
| 7 Apr 2026 | FEB | 112.4 | 112.3 | 112.1 |
| 9 Mar 2026 | JAN | 112.4 | 113.2 | 110.3 ® |
| 6 Feb 2026 | DEC | 110.2 | 109.8 | 109.9 |
| 9 Jan 2026 | NOV | 110.5 | 110.4 | 109.8 |
| 5 Dec 2025 | OCT | 110.0 | 109.3 | 108.2 ® |
| 10 Nov 2025 | SEP | 108.0 | 107.9 | 107.0 |
لماذا يهم
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
طريقة الحساب
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
ما تعنيه التغيرات
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
أعلى من المتوقع: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
أقل من المتوقع: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
لمحة تاريخية قصيرة
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
الأسئلة
What is the Japan Leading Economic Index Prel?
The Japan Leading Economic Index Prel combines several economic series for Japan into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest Japan Leading Economic Index Prel?
118.0 for AUG, published on 7 October 2026 (consensus 118.1, previous 117.6).
When is the next Japan Leading Economic Index Prel?
On Monday 9 November 2026 at 05:00 UTC.
محتوى تعليمي فقط، وليس نصيحة استثمارية. الأرقام هي النتائج المنشورة كما سجّلتها مفكرتنا؛ وردود فعل السوق الموصوفة نموذجية وليست مضمونة.